Analysis 2003 forecast 2004

Introduction: analysis and prediction of 2003 the third prize of "Debao Cup" 2003 large award-winning essay collection activity in feed market NVG score of this paper: 6.375 NVG although the fish meal fell in March, 2003, SARS caused market fluctuation in May, soybean meal and lysine rose sharply in September, and grain and oil prices rose in October for the first time since 1997 Raw material market panic, feed enterprises generally lose money, the market changes, but all this does not mean anything! NVG: I'm not an expert My job is to buy and sell pigs I also sell a section of feed on behalf of others From the point of view and analysis of our industry: (the competition in feed market in 2004 will be very fierce) and the possibility of feed rising is even greater Why? I've summarized three points: NVG point 1: in the second half of 2003, the price of pigs continued to be stable and soared, even reaching the price of 8 yuan / kg For the common people, although the feed market price rose, the common people's breeding still made money has laid a foundation for the market dynamics next year! NvG 2: in 2003, the price of pigs was good, not only the price of pigs was good, but also all kinds of livestock and poultry were very good Now, not only is there a surplus of rural labor force, most of the citizens in small and medium-sized cities also have a surplus of labor force, and even many laid-off workers What are these names? For the rural areas, most of the grain for farmers to farm is to breed, and they need to use feed and feed to breed Expect to have a lot of brands, on this point alone, the competition is very fierce! Let alone the rest of the suburbs Laid-off workers are looking for a temporary worker for 300 or 400 yuan a month So they think the best way is to breed They are very good at accounting If I can sell 10 pigs a month and earn 100 yuan for one pig, it's not much better than going to work! This shows that next year's market demand for feed is bigger than this year's! NVG 3:00: now the whole country is supporting the breeding industry from the local level to the upper level Large areas of land are put in place to let farmers have places to breed, and rural loans are issued Moreover, this year's breeding market is very good, so there will be more people to breed next year Now the price of piglets is a little lower, and many people have enough to buy a lot of piglets, which is next year's business! From these points, next year's feed needs will be more than this year's, even if the feed rise is not a big problem! NvG 4 points: the quality problem, the service does well again, that is the quality problem, then next year 's market competition, will decide the quality problem again, then is the local dealer, the agent' s marketing is the big problem, now the key is the marketer, gives the breeder the exchange, mixes is very important! NVG, these are just some small points of view of doing business in our bank, but from the point of view of doing business in my bank, I have analyzed a little feed market, so I don't need to watch it!! Thank you!! One more point: NVG 5:00, the price of next year's pigs will not fluctuate too much According to the analysis of business personnel of Jinluo group, the market of next year is still very good Now many meat products need to be exported As you know, China and Russia have resumed contact in this respect, so my point of view is that next year's pigs will not fall sharply, keep good, and follow The price fluctuation of feed, corn and soybean is very balanced From this year's feed fluctuation, the price of pig is also floating and rising this year! NVG I believe that the future feed market, power is still great, I am preparing to more feed distribution Shang, to a one-stop service! NVG Author: Yang Haibo / Shandong NVG copyright notice: This article is the original manuscript of "Debao Cup" 2003 large award-winning essay collection activity in feed market " The copyright belongs to China feed industry information network and the author It cannot be reproduced without the permission of China feed industry information network.