echemi logo
Product
  • Product
  • Supplier
  • Inquiry
    Home > Chemicals Industry > New Chemical Materials > Analysis of the trend of the national standard rubber market this week (6.19-6.23)

    Analysis of the trend of the national standard rubber market this week (6.19-6.23)

    • Last Update: 2022-12-06
    • Source: Internet
    • Author: User
    Search more information of high quality chemicals, good prices and reliable suppliers, visit www.echemi.com

    According to the monitoring data of the cable network, the spot price of domestic natural rubber standard rubber showed a slight decline this week, and the average price of the natural rubber market on Monday remained at about 14420 yuan / ton, and fell to 14250 yuan / ton over the weekend, a range of 1.
    18%.

    The overall trading atmosphere for natural rubber this week was not ideal
    .

    rubber

    The reasons for the decline in domestic natural rubber prices are analyzed as follows:

    1.
    Macro, Dallas Fed President Kaplan said on the 20th that the US 10-year Treasury bond yield is currently at a low level, suggesting that economic growth expectations are sluggish, and the Fed needs to be very cautious
    when considering further interest rate hikes.
    He said he would like to see data proving that the recent weakness in inflation is transitory and that "very cautious and patient attitude must be maintained on further rate hikes in the future.
    "
    The day before, Chicago Fed President Evans said that the US economy has performed quite well recently, with good economic fundamentals, but is nervous
    about weak inflation.

    2.
    In terms of the market, the price quotation of natural rubber in Hengshui market fell by about 100 yuan / ton, and the current spot shippers in the region do not hold much goods, because they are pessimistic about the future market situation, so the intention to stock up is poor, and the factory is mainly based on spot procurement
    .
    Mainstream reference price: 15-year Baodao whole milk tax reference quotation 12300-12400 yuan / ton; 16-year Yunxiang whole milk quotation of 12600 yuan / ton; A small number of bid two quotations are 12400 yuan / ton; The quotation of imported rubber is scarce, and I heard that a few 16-year-old large manufacturers quoted 15,000 yuan / ton
    .

    3.
    In terms of inventory, the inventory of Qingdao bonded port area remained high, reaching 278,800 tons as of mid-June, with an increase of 0.
    65% and a higher inventory level
    .
    The inventory of the last period was 357,000 tons, up 3,763 tons, and the inventory of the previous period was at a high level, and the domestic price of the rubber fluctuated
    .

    4.
    On the demand side, according to the International Automotive Organization, by 2020, China's annual automobile sales will reach 29.
    7 million units
    .
    This means that between 2017 and 2020, the compound annual growth rate of China's automobile sales will remain at about
    7.
    06%.
    Although this growth rate is slower
    than in the past few years.

    5.
    Future market forecast: The analysis of this website preliminarily predicts that Tianjiao is gradually digesting inventory, but the oversupply situation has not been fully improved
    .
    Downstream demand has not been strongly stimulated, and it is expected that the spot quotation of tianjiao will remain weak
    next week.

     

    This article is an English version of an article which is originally in the Chinese language on echemi.com and is provided for information purposes only. This website makes no representation or warranty of any kind, either expressed or implied, as to the accuracy, completeness ownership or reliability of the article or any translations thereof. If you have any concerns or complaints relating to the article, please send an email, providing a detailed description of the concern or complaint, to service@echemi.com. A staff member will contact you within 5 working days. Once verified, infringing content will be removed immediately.

    Contact Us

    The source of this page with content of products and services is from Internet, which doesn't represent ECHEMI's opinion. If you have any queries, please write to service@echemi.com. It will be replied within 5 days.

    Moreover, if you find any instances of plagiarism from the page, please send email to service@echemi.com with relevant evidence.