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Overnight, the main contract of Shanghai aluminum opened at 14545 yuan / ton, the early stage of the market entry bulls have left the market, Shanghai aluminum passive down to 14460 yuan / ton, then 5/10 daily moving average junction support initial show, aluminum price back to 14505 yuan / ton, integer threshold resistance is still strong, Shanghai aluminum did not form an effective breakthrough after continuing to probe, closed at 14455 yuan / ton, the position decreased by 4738 hands to 233660 hands, Shanghai aluminum main force continued to pay attention to the long and short for the 14500 yuan / ton integer mark competition, It is expected to run at 14380~14500 yuan / ton today, and the spot discount will remain 160~120 yuan / ton
.
In terms of the market, on the same day, the spot price of A00# aluminum was 14140 yuan / ton, down 100 yuan / ton from the previous day, and the discount was 305 yuan / ton compared with the near-month contract, the holder shipped steadily, Shanghai aluminum rose slightly, the middleman tried to stock up, the downstream enterprises wait-and-see sentiment was strong, the overall transaction was general, and the transaction was concentrated among
traders.
In terms of news, Xinfa's 530,000-ton production capacity was shut down a few days earlier than planned, exceeding market expectations, and its impact on production in August will be shown
.
However, the current market consumption in the off-season is weak, the growth rate of production is not obvious, and inventories continue to climb, and the inventory in the five places has exceeded 1.
3 million tons
.
It is also too early for the market to speculate about limiting production during the heating season, and there will still be uncertainty
about the implementation by then.
It may be difficult for short-term prices to rise further, mainly oscillation adjustment, and medium-term still mainly rising
.
Operationally, it is recommended to wait and see for the time being and buy
a small amount on the dip.