Australian agricultural outlook released: cherries production drops, grapes and avocados increase year-on-year

Recently, the Australian RURAL BANK issued the "2022 Australian Agriculture Outlook" Australia 2022 Agricultural Show Hope (hereinafter referred to as "Outlook"), of Australia's major agricultural production, trade and supply and demand, price terms and so do the professional in-depth analysis and forecast
.
In the past two years, despite the impact of the new crown epidemic, good weather conditions have kept the output of Australian agricultural products in a good state
.
According to the latest forecast of the outlook, this year's Australian agricultural products will usher in another bumper year
.
At the same time, as the development of the new crown epidemic gradually stabilizes, Australia's domestic consumption of various agricultural products is also increasing.
Therefore, in 2022, Australian agricultural products are expected to see a boom in supply and demand
.

 

　　Australia has been experiencing the La Niña phenomenon since the summer, which has had a certain degree of negative impact on the production of fruits and vegetables.
However, generally good weather conditions make Australia also usher in a fruit harvest season in the first half of 2022
.
According to estimates by the Australian Bureau of Agricultural Resources and Trade, the total output value of Australian fruits and vegetables this season will reach a record US$12.
4 billion
.
According to the analysis of the outlook, the good growth and the increase in domestic consumer demand for fruit and vegetable products make the fruit output value of this season expected to hit a new high
.

 

　　The output of Haas avocado is expected to exceed 120,000 tons, a year-on-year increase of 150%
.
The domestic demand for avocados in Australia is expected to continue to grow.
By the end of this season, the per capita annual consumption can reach 5 kg, compared with 4 kg in the previous season
.
Queensland is still the main producing area of ​​Australian avocados, accounting for 69% of the total Australian avocado production
.

 

The output of 　　Australian table grapes this season is expected to be 210,000 tons, an increase of 10,000 tons over the previous season.
Good weather conditions and the increase in planting area have led to an increase in production
.
However, Outlook also pointed out that the shortage of labor in Australia is likely to directly affect the quality of grapes
.
In addition, the increase in export transportation costs and the uncertainty of the Chinese market for Australian grape imports have brought challenges to the export of Australian grapes in the new season
.
According to statistics, the export of Australian table grapes to China fell by 41% last season
.
Due to the sharp decrease in export volume, the domestic grape market price in Australia has been hovering at a low level and continues to this day
.

 

　　Australian stone fruit is currently in the harvest period.
From the perspective of the forecast, the output of peaches and nectarines in this season is expected to increase slightly by 5-10% year-on-year.
The heavy rain experienced in the main producing areas and the hail in late spring in South Australia have had an impact on the quality of stone fruit.
Certain influence
.
The demand for stone fruits in the domestic Australian market will continue to remain stable, and market prices are expected to fall due to the impact of the high yield of peaches
.

 

　　In the past spring, the temperature was lower than usual, and the lower temperature and heavy rain also affected the production of Australian cherries
.
Although it was previously predicted that the output of cherries will increase, taking into account the impact of the weather, it is expected that the output of Australian cherries this season will steadily and slightly decrease, and the current output is expected to be about 18,000 tons
.
The size of cherries this season is generally too large, which is very conducive to enhancing the value of cherries
.
For cherries producers, the good news also includes that the demand for cherries in the Australian domestic market remains at a high level, especially during the upcoming Christmas holidays, there will be a small peak in demand
.
The good news for exporters is that the Australian Government’s International Freight Assistance Program (IFAM) will be extended to mid-2022
.
In the context of the significant increase in export shipping costs in other southern hemisphere countries, this move will undoubtedly enhance the competitiveness of Australian cherries in overseas markets
.
The outlook also predicts that exports of cherries to China this season will remain stable
.

 

　　On the whole, the biggest challenge facing the Australian fruit and vegetable industry in the new season is still the labor shortage.
In addition, there are some uncertainties in the export trade relationship with China, which is also a problem that exporters are very concerned about
.