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Overnight, Shanghai aluminum 2201 closed at 18760, down 70, LME aluminum closed at 2611, down 16; In terms of macro, the Central Economic Work Conference called for economic stability, in which the meeting required that the virtuous cycle and healthy development
of the real estate industry be promoted under the premise of housing and living without speculation.
Inflation hit a 40-year high in November, and pressure on the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates increased
.
In terms of fundamentals, SMM inventory on the 9th reported 952,000 tons, down 50,000 tons from last Thursday; during the same period, the steel union statistics aluminum rod inventory was 96,500 tons, an increase of 16,000 tons from last Thursday; November unwrought aluminum and aluminum exports were 509,300 tons, an increase of 29,700 tons, imports were 297,000 tons, an increase of 44,000 tons, the increase was mainly primary aluminum; the pressure of power rationing was eased, Yunnan electrolytic aluminum started to partially resume production; alumina prices continued to fall, and costs accelerated to fall and electrolytic aluminum profits were quickly repaired
。
Short-term pre-holiday downstream replenishment, inventory dematerialization is high, but near the Spring Festival, the enthusiasm for holding goods and shipments is high, suppressing spot premiums, and short-term prices remain volatile; The downward pressure on the medium and long-term economy has increased, the demand trend has weakened, and the news of resumption of production has gradually increased, the price of raw materials such as alumina has fallen rapidly, the expected cost has declined, profits have returned, and the price upward resistance is strong
.
