Does Bush have a problem protecting steel and agriculture?

Introduction: the rise of U.S trade protectionism has aroused public indignation and criticism in the international community Last week, it became more and more fierce The three major multilateral economic organizations -- the world trade organization, the world bank, and the International Monetary Fund -- rarely blame the United States for raising steel import taxes and increasing agricultural subsidies in a joint statement submitted to the OECD meeting In a joint announcement, the OECD also criticized the US for returning to the old path of protectionism without naming In recent years, the United States has actively promoted global trade liberalization Why did it suddenly turn? The mid-term election of the U.S Congress will be held in November In order to attract voters engaged in agriculture and steel production to support the Republican Party, Bush did not hesitate to deviate from the party's long-standing free market economy JT political and metallurgical analysts pointed out that the decision to raise import steel tariffs alone could win the Republican Party six more seats in the house of Representatives, and even as far as the 2004 presidential election, Bush could increase the chances of re-election Secondly, under the strong dollar policy, the foreign competitiveness of the domestic manufacturing industry in the United States has been damaged for a long time, and the unemployment problem is more serious than that of the service industry In order to calm the industry's resentment and win votes, Bush has only two ways to go, one is to devalue the dollar, the other is to increase import tariffs JAT must be very precise in devaluing the US dollar: too fast a fall would undermine the ability of the us to attract foreign investment to cover its huge current account deficit The ideal situation is an orderly decline, but it will take a long time Relatively speaking, increasing import tariff is a quick and effective way Moreover, successful suppression of steel import can also relieve the pressure of expanding current account deficit and achieve two goals with one stone But is it worth it for Bush to offend trade partners? Someone once excused bush, saying that his move is actually a bitter meat plan As long as the Republicans get more seats in Congress, they will be able to pass the bill on trade liberalization more smoothly in the future On the other hand, it's naive to say that When the United States loses its international credibility, how can it persuade other countries to promote trade liberalization in the future? Long Yongtu: China will strengthen its support for agriculture in the future Last week, the United States passed a bill to subsidize billions of US dollars in agricultural products China's deputy foreign trade minister, long Yongtu, said Monday that China will strengthen its support for agriculture in the future China still has a lot of space to support agriculture, without violating the rules of the world trade organization JAT longyongtu said that the United States has made a commitment in the Uruguay negotiations to gradually reduce agricultural subsidies Of course, such a bill put forward by the U.S Congress has caused great concern to China China can also give many subsidies to agriculture in the future, without violating WTO rules He also pointed out that agricultural product subsidies are a major issue of China's accession to the WTO China's annual yellow box subsidies to agriculture are only about 10 billion US dollars, while the subsidies of the United States and the European Union to agricultural products do not know how many times higher JAT the EU's decision to stop the import of animal derived food from China (hereinafter referred to as "the closure") has a huge impact on Shandong Province At present, there are more than 80000 rural families in Shandong Province who have signed contracts to raise rabbits, and 10 million meat rabbits are overstocked in the hands of farmers After the "closure" of the European Union, most export enterprises said they were unable to perform their duties Some farmers who couldn't sell rabbits took the enterprises to court and began to petition frequently in their places At the same time, 79 enterprises and 50000 employees engaged in aquatic products processing and export in the province are also in the situation of production suspension and semi production suspension JAT learned that the EU did not notify China two months in advance according to WTO rules before "customs clearance", but suddenly made a unilateral decision At present, more than 6000 tons of rabbit meat are on the way to the EU, facing further losses In order to reduce the risk, the European importers proposed that the payment method should be changed from the past CIF payment to the payment after the goods pass the customs inspection without quality problems, and the port expenses should be borne by the Chinese side It is estimated that the 5000 tons of goods that have arrived at the ports of Rotterdam in the Netherlands and Hamburg in Germany only account for 100000 euros per day for the container fee According to the current customs clearance speed, the inspection of each batch of goods will take about 14 days, and the enterprise will face huge financial pressure According to the statistics of Jat, at present, Shandong enterprises still have about 2500 tons of rabbit meat in stock, with a value of more than 40 million yuan If they stop exporting for more than six months, they will face bankruptcy At that time, even if the European Union opened and closed, no farmers in Shandong would be willing to raise rabbits and ducks There are 79 aquatic products enterprises and 12 rabbit meat and duck meat production enterprises registered in the European Union in Shandong Province, accounting for more than 50% of the national total At the same time, Norway, Hungary, Saudi Arabia, Japan and South Korea responded one after another, some declared "customs clearance" and some strictly inspected China's export products, which will involve the export of 1.3 billion USD aquatic products and 360 million USD frozen meat products in Shandong Province JAt jAt