Earth's temperature will generally drop "Xiaoice River period" is coming!

The number of sunspots is recorded every day, dating back to the 17th century, when telescopes appeared.
recently discovered by NASA through a near-Earth telescope that a record of "zero" sunspots can be linked to days or even weeks.
the sky, the future, so there are reports that this means that the sun activity reduced to the lowest point, the sun will become "white sun", the Earth's temperature will generally decrease, "Xiaoice river period" is coming, to 2020 or so, the Earth "winter will come."
, is the warm sun going to be a "cold beauty"? Is the scene depicted in the film Ice Age coming true? Sun, the sun's "micro-expression" right shoulder slightly shrugged to show lying, eyes to the left to show memories, hands on the shoulder to show psychological defense ... These human "micro-expressions" once became a popular "reading heart" method.
humans also use the sun's "micro-expression" to speculate on the activity inside the sun, sunspots are one of the sun's "micro-expressions", in addition to flares, spectroscopic spots and so on.
"the appearance of sunspots is a reflection of the sun's magnetic field," said Dr. Zheng Jianchuan of the Shenzhen Observatory.
"In the eyes of astronomers, the sun is never quiet.
"blacks generally appear in groups, due to different positions, divided into leading blacks and later with the black, their magnetic polarity is the opposite, like magnets.
" Zheng said the observatory's perennial observations of sunspots, such as nasa's Solar Dynamics Observatory (SDO), launched in 2010, provide astronomers with vast amounts of observations of the future using multi-band imaging devices that provide large amounts of observations of the sun at high spatial and high-resolution resolution. The essence of the
sunspots is the change of the sun's magnetic field, and in order to explain the origin, characteristics and their interaction between the sun's magnetic field, and the changes in the solar cycle, the scientists put forward the theory of solar generator.
the National Observatory scholar Jiang Jie, Wang Jingxuan's review paper said that people know very little about the dynamic structure of the sun's interior, in order to establish a model consistent with the observation results, there will be many assumptions, these assumptions may not be marginal, and later the development of solar shock technology, so that people have more understanding of the structure under the solar sphere, the model is more and more reliable.
the constant revision and improvement of the generator theory, in order to make the sun's "micro-expression" and "unobservable internal activity" can be the most accurate match, and eventually can be able to predict solar activity.
"reading the heart", which cannot be done at present but the ideal accurate equation has not yet appeared. Wang Huaning, chief researcher of the Solar Activity Prediction Group at the National Observatory of the Chinese Academy of Sciences,
said, "The speculation about solar activity has been the subject of concern and research by astronomers, but it is not possible to make accurate predictions and accurate predictions, thus making it more difficult to predict the future climate of the Earth."
"Since the advent of the 17th century telescopes, people have recorded and measured the number of sunspots to show an average period of change of about 11 years, with the sunspot cycle, which began in 1755, as the first solar activity week."
"Now we are in the 24th solar activity week, solar activity is all the activity week is relatively small," Zheng Jianchuan said, "there are currently papers predicting the next cycle of sunspots will be reduced, there is no shortage of predictions will increase the number of papers, although the conclusions are different, the paper's argumentation process is rigorous and based." Several academic articles provided by Zheng Jianchuan
" show that the predictions of different studies are not the same in a strict sense.
"Gopalswamy et al. predicted that the upcoming 25th Solar Week solar activity will be weaker," Zheng jianchuan explained, "Caneron et al. this article predicts that the 25th solar week is a mild solar week, and that solar activity will not be much higher than it is now, basically equivalent."
they use surface flux transport model, input parameters for simulation, to arrive at future data.
" and scholars reasoned through statistical analysis of solar-like stars in the universe.
" Wang Huaning introduced, recently scholars through the sun-like life course statistics, predicted that the sun's ultraviolet flow may be reduced by 7% in the future, but this scientific research has appeared Wulong reported, falsely reported that "the solar temperature will be reduced by 7%," the two are completely different, the latter will have a great impact on the earth, "scientists' paper research is no problem, afraid of interpretation is wrong."
" for the upcoming 25th week of events, the academic community agreed that it will be a mild week, the solar activity is not dramatic, but what is the situation, how the impact on the Earth, it will be really until that time to observe.
" Wang Huaning stressed that speculation and forecasting are two different things, the former is a serious basic research, while the latter is more focused on results and accuracy.
in any case, humans should pay attention not only to the impact of the intense solar activity on the Earth's environment, but also to the solar activity of the polar-time Earth environment will be how to react.
" Linking the new model to the prediction of solar activity still requires sustained support and advancement."
" cooling, still lack of basis for the sun will continue to moderate, then the earth will not feel cold? Those with a positive answer, the most favorable evidence came from the end of the Ming Dynasty.
" That period of time for nearly a hundred years on the sun rarely see the sun, but also did occur the phenomenon of cold climate, when the lunar calendar in October, the Grand Canal Yangzhou section was frozen.
" Wang Huaning said, this is also the basis for many experts believe that the next black spot will also appear in the "Xiaoice period." "It was very cold and the Thames was frozen, and the evidence was seen in the oil painting, "
.
" Zheng Jianchuan said that in the second half of the 19th century, astronomers from more than 100 years of sunspot records found 1645 to 1715 sunspots-free extra-long 70 years, suggested that there may be a very long period of extreme, and then through historical research, radiocarbon isotope determination and other gradually determined the existence of such a period of climate anomaly, was named "Mond mini-period."
"the blackseed data for the very low period are not exhaustive and cannot be compared with the recent blackseed data, and it is not known how long the case of a blackspot zero will last before it will have an impact on the Earth's climate."
," Wang said.
in late October 2014, the sun's visible sun had its largest sunspots in 24 years, and September 2017 had the largest solar flare in nearly a decade, showing the most intense solar activity... These unusually rich "micro-expressions" of solar activity also seem to contradict the sun's mild predictions.
take a step back, even if the Earth accepts a reduction in heat from the sun, but how much will be reduced to an un"buffer" effect, and what the Changes of the Earth itself will present, this is a very complex process of reasoning. "The relationship between Japan and the earth is a very complex issue, and there is no evidence that the earth's temperature will rise when there are more sunspots, " said Kirin Kirin, a visiting researcher at the National Observatory of the Chinese Academy of Sciences in
.
"It is clear that solar energy and climate change are not simply linear, and are much more complex than a fire and a ball.
in the Pacific, for example, studies from the National Center for Atmospheric Research in the United States have concluded that peak solar activity (heating) causes water evaporation to increase, but it causes the eastern Pacific to cool.
a year or two is likely to cause La Nina (cooler water) or El Nino (warming) phenomenon, and warm and cold may have regional differences.
in the time span, "climate cooling and warming requires long-term statistical judgment, can not be based on a short period of time temperature changes to make a conclusion."
," said Cai Wenjia, an associate professor in the Department of Earth System Science at Tsinghua University.
she believes that, in terms of the economics of climate change, 95 percent of the world's scientists now support the scientific judgment of climate change, and that the impact of human activity on the climate is unquestionable.
Wang Huaning also believes that scientific research is to explore the unknown world of mankind, solar activity changes on the economic and political aspects of human need to be strengthened research, in order to find out the sun's "character" in the future, with the ability to forecast.
Source: Science Daily.