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    Home > Active Ingredient News > Feed Industry News > Fish meal market analysis: international price is expected to rise soon

    Fish meal market analysis: international price is expected to rise soon

    • Last Update: 2001-02-26
    • Source: Internet
    • Author: User
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    OA show ('918 '); [fish meal market analysis: international price is expected to rise soon] Peru has sold nearly 200000 tons of fish meal to China so far after the lifting of the ban in October, of which 60000mt is purchased by Zhonghong, 10000mt by Zhongmu, 13000mt by Gaolong and 25000mt by a large group, so all the goods in the hands of retail investors are only about 100000mt The consumption of Chinese fish meal began to expand after April and may, so Chinese buyers will start to buy a lot of fish meal after April It is estimated that the international price of fish meal will pick up after April If China starts to levy 13% value-added tax on fish meal on April 1, we expect the following consequences: first, domestic users will buy the stock at the port in advance to avoid the value-added tax As soon as the information is confirmed, the domestic price will rise from about 4150 / 4300 yuan now, and it is estimated that it is possible to maintain above 4300 yuan 2 As soon as the VAT news comes out, the importer is estimated to be unwilling to purchase goods temporarily, which will cause certain pressure on the international market But what should be considered is how much can the international market go down? Peru's suppliers are unprofitable in the level of 360 FOB (CIF 410) of us gold price, so they can't adjust the price lower than 360 US dollars (the actual example is that the market has been above 360 US dollars since the lifting of the ban last year), and Peru's suppliers know that China's demand will be very strong in April and may So once China starts buying, they will soon raise the price of fish meal 3 On the other hand, the more reluctant the importers are to buy goods, the more tense the domestic inventory in China will be, and the price in China will be higher by then (200000 tons of goods in this area will not be enough for the digestion of two months in the peak season of China) 4 According to the latest news in Europe, France has lifted the ban on fish meal, followed by Germany (European inventory is now very low), so Europe will be put back into the market after lifting the ban 5 The amount of fishing is unknown If the amount of fishing is not good, the international market will remain stable What strategies will the Peruvian government adopt to maintain the price of fish meal? 7 Chile's quota this year is 500000 MT less than that of last year (the output of fishmeal last year was 800000 MT) I'm afraid this year's quota is less than that It has been reported that Chile will buy fishmeal from Peru VIII The price of "Fu Qin Shan" goods is 465 U.S gold price If there is no value-added tax, only RMB 4100 will be paid No matter whether the value-added tax is implemented or not, once China enters the peak season in June, the domestic price must be more than RMB 4100 So we bet on the huge profits that VAT can bring without losing money China feed industry information network a6t (author:)
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