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    Home > Active Ingredient News > Drugs Articles > Huang Qifan: propose the National People's Congress to support enterprises by issuing 1 trillion additional special treasury bonds

    Huang Qifan: propose the National People's Congress to support enterprises by issuing 1 trillion additional special treasury bonds

    • Last Update: 2020-02-12
    • Source: Internet
    • Author: User
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    As soon as possible to implement the relevant policies of migrant workers settled in the city, quickly solve the problem of labor shortage in the manufacturing industry; cancel the enterprise housing fund system; introduce policies to encourage enterprises to implement the annuity system; find ways to reduce logistics costs The novel coronavirus pneumonia outbreak began to enter a new stage in February 10th as the whole country began to resume work one after another General secretary Xi Jinping personally deployed and personally commanded The whole country has formed a comprehensive mobilization, comprehensive deployment and comprehensive strengthening of epidemic prevention and control At present, while further prevention and control of infection, the epidemic prevention war has begun to enter the stage of orderly resumption of production At present, it seems that the negative impact of the epidemic on the economy will be much greater than that of SARS In 2003, the impact of SARS on the economy was mainly concentrated in the second quarter, with a growth rate 1.5 percentage points lower than that of the previous two quarters; the industries of passenger transport, tourism, accommodation, catering, retail and so on were greatly impacted in a short time, and the impact on investment and foreign trade was not obvious; the emergence of SARS did not interrupt the rising trend of the economy at that time due to the double benefits of population dividend and accession to the WTO However, the epidemic is different, far beyond the scope of "SARS", almost covering all economically active and developed provinces and cities in China In terms of duration, the "new crown" with Wuhan as the core is likely to be longer than the "SARS" with Guangzhou as the core The impact of the epidemic on China's economic development and manufacturing industry at present, China's economic growth is in a critical period of downward growth and difficult transformation The epidemic will lead to consumer pressure, sluggish investment and even worse fiscal revenue After the outbreak, with the launch of the first-class response mechanism for major public health emergencies in Fengcheng, Wuhan and other parts of the country, the "Spring Festival Golden Week" which was expected to be consumed by more than 450 million tourists turned into the "national epidemic prevention week", with the consumption of hotels, hotels, cinemas and so on plummeting, and a large number of small and medium-sized enterprises were under heavy pressure At present, the contribution of China's tourism to GDP has reached about 11%, and the number of direct and indirect employees has exceeded 100 million If this time is severely damaged, on the one hand, it will drag down the overall employment and put a huge pressure on the employment situation and social stability of the whole society; on the other hand, it will also impact on the "high-quality supply" that is conducive to promoting high-quality consumption cultivated by the supply side reform in recent years Once the epidemic passes, these supplies will not keep up and will not be conducive to restarting the economic cycle Under the influence of these internal and external factors, if stability control measures are not taken, a large number of small and medium-sized manufacturing enterprises will encounter operational difficulties More importantly, the industrial ecology of some of the more vulnerable manufacturing industries is likely to be damaged, leading to a longer-term negative impact The impact of industrial chain and supply chain disruption caused by logistics disruption and disease control measures is much greater than that caused by trade friction between China and the United States Once the disruption occurs, it forms a transfer and replacement, and the manufacturing base of some industries has been lost for three decades, which is difficult to find again So we must attach great importance to the protection of industrial ecology, the protection of industrial chain and supply chain, and the protection of small and medium-sized enterprises, just as we attach importance to the epidemic itself Only in this way can we really get through the difficulties We should take comprehensive measures to stabilize the fundamentals of China's economic growth Although the epidemic will not change the fundamentals of China's long-term economic growth, the impact on the manufacturing industry, the majority of small and medium-sized enterprises and the overall level of economic transactions in the short term cannot be ignored We should take comprehensive measures to stabilize the fundamentals of economic growth and strive to stabilize the annual economic growth at about 5% First, it is necessary to control the flow of people (centralized isolation of all confirmed, suspected and close contacts) and unblock the flow of goods At present, in order to effectively prevent and control the spread of the epidemic, some places have taken some strict measures, but pay attention not to go to extremes, not easily cut off, cut off or even "close the city", affecting the national economic artery of logistics The whole industrial manufacturing industry including steel, chemical industry, electric power, equipment manufacturing and the sales of raw materials, parts and components and their products of light industry and electronics will not only lose a lot, but also have a disastrous impact on the whole upstream and downstream Second, adopt more active fiscal policies Due to the special circumstances this year, we can break the conventional limit that the fiscal deficit does not exceed 3% of GDP, and propose to the National People's Congress for deliberation and approval to issue an additional 1 trillion special treasury bonds to support small and medium-sized enterprises to reduce taxes and fees and transfer payments to epidemic areas The third is to adopt monetary policy to adapt to fiscal expansion The central bank increased its efforts to purchase treasury bonds and further reduced the reserve and interest rates after the epidemic eased in the second quarter Fourth, supplementary work will be carried out for the holidays extended due to the epidemic prevention and control In order to make up for the loss of the enterprise, it is suggested that the enterprise be allowed to make up for the extended holiday appropriately according to its own situation, and the employees should choose the double day or other holidays within one year to make up for the work Some localities have extended additional working days on the basis of the decision of the State Council to extend holidays Fifthly, we need to mobilize all departments in different regions to introduce rescue measures for small and medium-sized enterprises according to local conditions We will reduce taxes and fees for small and medium-sized enterprises in an all-round way, extend the maturity of loans to small and medium-sized enterprises that cannot be repaid due to the suspension of the epidemic, continue the risk investigation and disposal of the pledge of major shareholders' equity of listed companies, identify the epidemic as an external factor of force majeure, and buffer the risk of forced closing positions caused by the decline of the stock market Some problems and Countermeasures to be solved in the resumption of manufacturing industry are stipulated by most regions, but it is still difficult for enterprises to resume production in the true sense One is the extreme shortage of workers caused by epidemic prevention and control There are many procedures for workers to return to the factory, and the concerns of governments at all levels can be understood Every detail of the application for resumption of work, resumption training, epidemic prevention and control, personnel sorting and control is important, which is really a helpless move However, as long as the procedures are complete, the efficiency is very fast But the workers still can't come back Road sealing, village sealing, persuasion, refusal to enter, household registration, residence, isolation time and other issues are the first difficulties that lead to the resumption of work Second, the epidemic has led to the incomplete supply chain of many industries Most enterprises all over the country have many suppliers of outsourcing parts, and everyone will face the problem of shortage of workers, materials and parts These enterprises are located in different regions of different cities, with different policies, different procedures, different recovery time, and extremely difficult to match each other This is the second difficulty! Third, the logistics transportation of enterprises almost stopped during the epidemic In addition to the materials necessary for the epidemic, various checkpoints have been set up throughout the country, so that the raw materials and spare parts of suppliers cannot be imported and the products cannot be transported out after the resumption of production; at the same time, the restrictions on the flow of personnel make it extremely difficult to carry out market expansion Especially in foreign trade, at present, more than 60 countries restrict China's entry, resulting in huge market losses This is the third problem! At present, controlling the epidemic situation and returning to work in time are indeed contradictory We must be prepared for a long-term war But how long can we last? At present, the state requires enterprises not to cut staff and pay salaries normally, but the products of enterprises cannot be produced, produced and circulated, and the funds cannot be collected in time How to ensure the wages of employees? Even if there is no epidemic, no factories, and no hematopoietic machines in society, it is more terrible than the epidemic itself In order to solve these three problems, in addition to the current tax and other policies adopted by governments at all levels, it is suggested to speed up the following reforms: first, implement the relevant policies of migrant workers settling down in cities as soon as possible, and quickly solve the problem of labor shortage in manufacturing industry If 200 million of the 300 million migrant workers can settle in the city, it can not only relieve the pressure of the Spring Festival, but also quickly supplement the urban labor force, effectively extend the working age and annual working hours of migrant workers, and extend the opportunity period of demographic dividend The second is to cancel the system of enterprise housing accumulation fund The housing accumulation fund system was learned from Singapore in the early 1990s Now China's real estate has been marketized Commercial banks have become the main body of providing housing loans The existence of housing accumulation fund is of little significance Its cancellation can directly reduce the cost of enterprises and employees by 12% The third is to introduce policies to encourage enterprises to implement the annuity system, and dredge the channels and mechanisms of enterprise annuity investment in the capital market This is not only conducive to the supplement of social endowment insurance funds, but also conducive to the formation of a huge long-term capital supply, laying the foundation for the prosperity and stability of the capital market Fourth, try to reduce the logistics cost The epidemic will bring great opportunities to some "online" industries, and also put forward higher requirements for logistics efficiency It is suggested that the proportion of freight volume of railway transportation in various modes of transportation should be increased, the railway lines should be extended to various development zones, factories and mining enterprises as soon as possible, the "last kilometer" of railway transportation should be opened up, and the comprehensive logistics cost should be reduced The outbreak is as fierce as a tiger, not only hurting people, but also the economic operation of the country We must mobilize and strictly prevent the risks of economic operation just as we do in preventing and controlling the spread of the epidemic Under the firm leadership of the Party Central Committee, headed by general secretary Xi Jinping, the Chinese people will win the battle against the epidemic China's economy will also be able to step up to a new level of high quality development China's manufacturing industry will surely be able to regenerate itself and realize the overall transformation of the industry (the author is chairman of Tsinghua industrial transformation Advisory Committee)
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