Insufficient resource endowment Industry competitiveness is not strong International competition intensified In the post-epidemic era, China's dairy power road is blocked and long.

The sudden outbreak of new crown pneumonia has had a huge impact on the world economy, and all walks of life have been nearly hit hard. China's dairy industry, in the face of shocks and challenges, has maintained a good development trend: raw milk production in the first half of this year was 14.31 million tons, up 7.9% year-on-year, one of the few industries to buck the trend.
with the current epidemic prevention and control work in China into the normal, production and living order has been fully restored. In the face of the post-neo-crown pneumonia epidemic era, how can China's dairy industry achieve sustainable development? "Our country is still a long way from a dairy powerhouse, and achieving the goal of dairy self-serum is challenging." Recently, a number of industry experts and business people said at the 7th Bronger Dairy Forum hosted by the ruminant division of Grigg Ingeham.
Isculation chain order gradually restored
it is understood that, with the epidemic prevention and control situation continues to improve and the further implementation of the national policy of resumption of work and production, China's pasture production, fresh milk harvesters, enterprise operations, market sales and other industrial chain order began to gradually restore. Li Dong, deputy secretary-general of the China Dairy Association, said the outbreak had had a huge impact on China's dairy industry, but companies and industry associations were responding positively. In the first half of the year, the construction of large-scale pastures continued to advance, with a steady increase in dairy farming, with raw milk production of 14.31 million tons, up 7.9% YoY. At present, production 100% recovery, the main dairy enterprise sales recovery reached more than 90%. Sales of some cryogenic and probiotic products exceeded the same period, showing double-digit growth.
"but the difficulties facing the dairy industry are still outstanding," he said. Li Dong further analysis pointed out that, first, China's dairy resource endowment is insufficient, environmental pressure is great, second, the industry is not competitive, all kinds of materials imported from abroad, breeding costs than the dairy developed countries 40%-60%; In the future, the dairy industry upstream and downstream will face rising cost pressure, industry concentration will be further enhanced, high-quality milk source base construction will be speeded up. At present, enterprises have accelerated the pace of development, in the first half of the year, Yili, Mengniu and other dairy enterprises to step up the layout of the milk source base, signed a strategic cooperation agreement, many ten thousand head of pasture projects have started..." In the long run, the dairy industry has great potential for development. Li Dong thinks.
deep understanding of the inherent logic of the realization of the dairy power
in fact, the realization of the dairy power is not easy. "Our country is still a long way from a dairy powerhouse, and achieving the goal of dairy self-serum is challenging." Liu Yuman, a researcher at the Institute of Rural Development of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, believes that China's large pasture model has many negative effects: First, large scale, breeding separation, feces treatment is difficult; The model of big pasture also leads to the difficulty of industrial scale expansion, the high-end of dairy products, the aristocracy, restricting the expansion of consumption scale, the difficulty of cost decline, the international competitiveness of the industry will tend to decline for a long time and so on.
Liu Yuman said that China's dairy industry should deeply understand the inherent logic of moving towards a dairy power, and refer to the development of modern dairy industry international experience, such as Europe and the United States marketing-oriented dairy farmers cooperative model, New Zealand dairy farmers shareholder cooperative model, Japanese dairy farmers professional cooperative model. The main ideas of these models are the integration of family pasture breeding, the scale of family pasture and the organization of family pasture, which is worthy of reference. Liu Yuman believes that China is still far from the dairy power, especially the per capita share is lower than the world average, dairy products can not enter the developed country market, ordinary food milk sold as noble food, some major dairy products rely on the international market, etc. , these problems are not solved, China is not a dairy power.
Therefore, Liu Yuman suggested that China's dairy industry should follow the law of development, play a good foundation for development, do a good job of "breeding integration" system support, do a good job of "moderately large-scale" land support, do a good job of "dairy farmers organization" of the legal support, do a good job of policy design and constantly adjust the direction of support.
china defines every 10 million tons increase in milk production as a new level. From 1978 to 2001, China's milk production reached 10.26 million tons; "But dairy production has been moving slowly since the melamine incident in 2008, and the target of 40m tonnes and 50m tonnes is still a long way off, which is a common challenge for Chinese dairy people." Liu Yuman said.
-quality milk comes from good pastures
the production of high-quality milk is the first move towards a strong dairy industry, but also China's cattle farmers continue to pursue the mission. At the meeting, the construction of the best pastures, improve the quality of milk sources was once again mentioned by enterprises and conducted in-depth exchanges, in which the problems faced by large-scale ranch operations in the South became the focus of discussion.
, general manager of Guangming Shanghai Dairy Research Institute Co., Ltd., believes that the current development of southern pastures is characterized by: the continuous decline in dairy stock, the total supply of raw milk decreased, in Shanghai, for example, dairy stock has been reduced from 77,000 in 2016 to 5.19. 20,000 head, the number of pastures decreased from 65 to 26; the yield of cows increased significantly, the supply of raw milk was relatively stable; and in 2019, the average yield of mascara in Shanghai was 10.8 tons, up 15% from 2016. Su Yanqing believes that Shanghai dairy industry has been from "quantitative" to "quality" development, the first half of 2018 raw milk supply of 56%, the second half of 44%, March-May 30%, August-October 19%. "At present, the price mechanism of southern pastures is becoming more and more perfect, the quality of raw milk is constantly improving, and the basic milk price is implemented as a 'tri-party consultation' mechanism, and the distribution of benefits in the industrial chain is relatively reasonable."
but the seasonal contradiction of raw milk supply is still outstanding, the industrial chain coordination has a long way to go. Among them, the summer heat stress of pastures is serious, 85% of the time FROM May to August THI (temperature and humidity) index is higher than 74, high-quality crude feed shortage, silage quality continues to improve, high-quality hay dependent on imports, lack of professional and technical personnel, large-scale equipment management capacity is insufficient, heavy dependence on equipment suppliers, management passive, environmental pressure is huge, while large-scale ranch high-quality operations also face extreme weather, international competition, feed costs, production efficiency, milk quality and other challenges.
"The ranch will always be the first workshop of the processing enterprise". Experts said that in addition to heat stress management, silage planting concepts, machinery and equipment, crude feed new varieties of development efforts, the future pastures also need to reduce the cost of breeding, such as formula design to choose low-protein daily grains and coarse material localization, so as to enhance the competitiveness of pastures.
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