Maintenance plan of domestic n-butanol and downstream butyl acrylate in July

Since May, the domestic operating rate of n-butanol has basically hovered around 65%.
In June, the operating load of domestic installations was still not high, and some imported sources were basically in an upside-down state in the early stage.
After April, domestic imports of n-butanol have dropped significantly.
, The inventory of n-butanol in East China ports is also in a state of continuous decline
.
In June, the Jilin Chemical and Qilu Petrochemical plants continued to be overhauled, and the load of the Luxi chemical plant was unstable.
Then, in July, which domestic n-butanol plants have maintenance plans? ? It can be seen from the above table that the volume of n-butanol affected in July was 8000-9000 tons in the first half of Jilin Petrochemical, about 5000 tons in the middle and late Anqing Shuguang, and 3500-4000 tons in Luxi Chemical in early July
.
Therefore, in the first ten days of July, the domestic operating rate of n-butanol was still as low as around 60%, and the operating rate is expected to continue to rise in the middle and late ten days
.
Recently, the external source price of n-butanol has also been relatively high.
Before mid-July, there was no source of imported trade in East China to hear about it
.
In early July, the n-butanol market supply support was more obvious
.
? The price of propylbutyl ester has continued to fall recently.
Taking the price in East China as an example, it has dropped from a high of 10,300 yuan/ton to the current 9,500 yuan/ton, a drop of 8.
42%.
The rapid decline in prices has led to a decrease in industry profits.
Some companies have expressed The maintenance plan has also put pressure on the sales of n-butanol in some enterprises
.
Although some propyl butyl ester devices have indeed reached the maintenance cycle, even if the current price drops, the profits of butyl ester are still considerable, basically around 1,000 yuan/ton
.
Therefore, when the profitability of some maintenance devices is still good, most of them adopt the method of delaying the maintenance time as much as possible.
Therefore, the demand for n-butanol for propylbutyl ester in July may not decrease
.
However, Baichuan and Jin Yimeng, which were shut down in the early stage of the vinegar plant, are expected to restart in July, and Chongqing Yangtze Acetyl will also restart in the near future.
The downstream demand for n-butanol basically remains stable
.
? To sum up, in the first ten days of July, the domestic supply of n-butanol was still insufficient, and there is a gradual recovery in the middle and late ten days
.
On the demand side, the start-up load of the butyl acetate plant is expected to increase.
A small number of butyl acrylate companies have confirmed maintenance, and the maintenance plan of most companies is still uncertain.
Therefore, the overall performance on the demand side is stable.

.
The market outlook is expected that the n-butanol market in the first half of July still has the possibility of a slight push up.
Although the supply increases in the middle and late days, there may be a weak consolidation of the market
.