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Last week, PVC spot market prices were
mainly sorted out.
High prices of raw calcium carbide and vinyl chloride supported spot prices
.
At the same time, affected by domestic activities, some upstream and downstream enterprises in North China are restricted
from starting work.
Orders of downstream products enterprises are general, and the enthusiasm for procurement is not high
.
As the device returned to normal this week, spot prices remained volatile
.
On the raw material side, the price of blue charcoal remained firm, the low-price supply of calcium carbide was difficult to find, and the price of calcium carbide in various places remained high
.
As of July 2, the price of factory arrival in Tianjin and Henan is basically about 4850 yuan / ton, and Shandong remains at 4800~5100 yuan / ton
.
In the week ended July 2, the operating rate of PVC companies remained at a high level
of 84%.
In terms of inventory, last week's inventory of production companies accumulated to 90,000 tons
in the week.
In the week of June 21, social stocks re-entered the warehouse, and social stocks reported 139,700 tons
.
Last week, downstream enterprises were still in the off-season, profile pipe factories basically maintained about 5~6% of the start, the overall inventory is maintained, new orders have a downward trend
.
Last week's bargain hunt was just replenished, and the inventory level was basically maintained at about 7~25 days
.
The operating rate of production enterprises has decreased slightly month-on-month due to the impact of national events, and it is expected that it will soon resume operation in the later period, while the logistics environment can also be improved, and the pressure of goods leaving the factory and TV delivery can be alleviated
.
However, due to the high price of calcium carbide, the production profit of calcium carbide method is low
year-on-year.
In terms of foreign supply, with the gradual recovery of U.
S.
installations, some U.
S.
sources have been imported into China in May, and the import volume has increased significantly compared with April, and it is expected that stable supply
will be maintained in the future.
From the demand side, the domestic pipe profile start is basically maintained at the low level of the year, and the terminal order also has a shrinking trend, the external disk from powder exports to product exports almost all turned weaker, and it is difficult to pick up in the short term under the off-season PVC demand side
.
With the end of "July 1", the supply of calcium carbide and PVC in various places has recovered, the PVC operating rate has increased, and the relaxation of calcium carbide transportation has helped to increase the supply, and the trend of inventory accumulation may reappear
.
However, due to the current social inventory is at a historical low after a round of destocking, if the price is slightly loosened next week or the production supply is hindered, the downstream may be restocked, and the destocking node will be delayed
.