On the significance of the change of interest rate policy to the development of animal husbandry

Introduction: at present, there are different opinions on the specific impact of interest rate adjustment on the industry It also reflects the cautious attitude of the insiders towards the situation Here, I'd like to briefly talk about my personal views on the impact of interest rate adjustment on our industry, and make a brief short-term forecast on the current situation Interest rate is a powerful lever for the country to adjust the market economy through financial means Since the reform and opening up, the state has gradually liberalized market power and weakened the government's function on the market The market economy with free hands and feet is booming, which has improved the national strength and people's living standards, but this does not mean that the country is free to let the market economy go It is a direct reflection of the government's function to use policy means to intervene in the economy and guide the economy on the right path In recent two years, the market economy has been developing too fast, and there will not be a "bubble" Just as in recent years, all kinds of breeding have gone from wave to wave, but after the waves hit the bank and excited the gorgeous waves, they are empty Such a situation can not be said to be a manifestation of "bubble agriculture" This is extremely unfavorable to the development of animal husbandry The "pork fever" in 2004, the "special breeding fever" a few years ago and the "cow fever" that continues to this day are no exception The regulation and control of national macro policies is just the necessary and timely means to guide the development of the industry on the right track Some people think that the policy of raising interest rate will restrict the development of animal husbandry, especially large-scale animal husbandry I don't think so Now many local governments have relaxed their policies and increased their efforts to attract more people to promote the development of local animal husbandry, which is a good recipe for the development of animal husbandry However, the policy of being too broad has led to overheated investment behavior, building large-scale construction, and building "thousands of cattle", "thousands of pigs" and "hundreds of thousands of feathers" breeding farms No matter how much money is spent on buying famous brand equipment, pure breeding animals, millions to tens of millions of them Where do these funds come from? In the part of personal investment, the government invests or shares in various forms of power, blindly pursues breeding hot spots, and more people make large-scale loans There are winners of course, but the losers are not a few For example, chasing cattle fever Many retail farmers use loans to invest in production In 2004, we saw the situation of "low price of dairy cows" and "milk is inferior to water" From the above, I would like to explain that the central bank has raised the interest rate and widened the floating space of loans, which is a good policy to promote the development of animal husbandry By limiting investment, the current stable situation of the market is preserved, so as to ensure that more farms with professional technology, development strength and internal health of the enterprise develop forward It avoids the confusion of good and bad caused by blind investment In the long run, there is a good guarantee for the development of animal husbandry Although we don't know how the external conditions will change in the future, this is because there are too many variables in the breeding industry In my opinion, the current situation of animal husbandry is extremely balanced Or to the current situation of pig breeding as a reference After nearly a month of price cutting, the price of pork and pig has fallen back to a reasonable position Piglet prices have also fallen after days of holding on to high levels In the sense of development, the current situation is reasonable for the three major market groups of production, sales and consumption Such an atmosphere not only ensures the stability of the market, but also maintains the interests of producers According to the price of feed, pig and pork I think the current good situation will continue at least until around the Spring Festival At the same time, the price of piglets needs to be changed It is expected that the price of piglets will drop a little in the near future I hope that the majority of practitioners can calmly think about the future development direction, make full use of environmental factors, and carry out production activities in an orderly manner.