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    Home > Medical News > Latest Medical News > Peak value ≠ inflection point! Zhong Nanshan's analysis and prediction of the national epidemic situation turned out to be like this!

    Peak value ≠ inflection point! Zhong Nanshan's analysis and prediction of the national epidemic situation turned out to be like this!

    • Last Update: 2020-02-19
    • Source: Internet
    • Author: User
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    On the afternoon of February 17, Zhang Yufu, vice president of the First Affiliated Hospital of Guangzhou Medical University, led the Guangdong medical team to hold a video consultation with academician Zhong Nanshan through the network platform in the West Hospital area of Wuhan Union Medical College Hospital During the period, academician Zhong Nanshan said that according to the existing mathematical model and the effective measures taken by the government, the epidemic is expected to peak in the middle and late February, and the national epidemic will be stable around April Undoubtedly, this is the most exciting news in recent months, and it is precisely because of this that Zhong Nanshan once again made a hot search on Weibo Throughout the epidemic situation, as of February 17, except for Hubei, the number of new cases in other provinces and cities across the country has declined for 14 consecutive days Even on February 17, the number of newly confirmed cases in China (except Hubei) was only 8.88% of that on February 3 The decline was quite gratifying, which also proved that the strong state intervention played a decisive role! However, according to novel coronavirus pneumonia peak in micro-blog, the number of people who answered the questions is still more or less questioned Peak value ≠ inflection point? The two concepts of peak value and inflection point are actually derived from mathematical concepts In a broad sense, peak value refers to the maximum value of parabola, while inflection point, also known as inflection point, mathematically refers to the point that changes the upward or downward direction of the curve, generally speaking, the point that changes the radian At the beginning, Gao Fu, director of China Center for Disease Control and prevention, first proposed a conclusion about the inflection point of the epidemic "At present, prevention and control measures are working and suspected cases are decreasing," he said in an interview on January 28 If we follow the current measures, we should see a turning point in the near future The Lantern Festival is expected to improve " Wen Yumei, a academician of the Chinese Academy of engineering, believes that the decrease in the number of suspected infections and cases is a sign of the turning point That is to say, according to Zhong Lao, in the middle and last ten days of February, the total number of epidemic cases in the South may reach the highest, and the overall number of confirmed cases will begin to decline, with the peak officially coming; and the turning point will wait until the decline of the number of confirmed cases begins to slow down, or it may take some time According to the total number of confirmed cases in China, it's still like this: photo source: http://kfy.yaozh.com to fight the epidemic, but when can we go back to work? In addition, among the replies from many netizens, the biggest part is still worried about when to go back to work After all, it's nearly a month since I stay indoors I have to pay back the house loan and car loan I feel like a fool when my child stays at home all day! However, according to the information released by the government agencies and the road, traffic and residential closure of major cities, it may be a short time before the resumption of work, but it should not be too long You can rest assured that, after all, you can see the capital of China.. Penicillin Statement: this opinion only represents the author, not the position of yaozhi.com, welcome to exchange and supplement in the message area; if you need to reprint, please be sure to indicate the author and source of the article.
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