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On Wednesday, the PVC V2201 contract reduced its position, and the futures price rebounded, closing at 8901 on the day, +57 yuan from the previous trading day; Volume 1565662 lots, position volume 316564 lots, -14641, basis 699
.
News: 1.
PVC production in October 2021 was 1.
7085 million tons, an increase of 7.
31% month-on-month and a year-on-year decrease of 3.
13%; From January to October, the cumulative output was 18.
5702 million tons, an increase of 9.
22%
year-on-year.
Among them, the northwest region increased significantly, reporting 8.
21%, Xinjiang Zhongtai, Xinjiang Tianye, Inner Mongolia Junzheng, Ordos, Gansu Jinchuan Xinrong and other maintenance resumed driving, and production increased
significantly.
2.
The power cuts in Inner Mongolia have been greatly eased this week, the operating load has increased, and the output has increased significantly
.
After the electricity price increase in October 2021, 50% of the cost of calcium carbide comes from electricity prices, and another 41% of blue charcoal and 9% quicklime, the theoretical cost of calcium carbide in Northwest China is currently
about 5758 yuan / ton.
Market quotation: the mainstream price of SG-5 in Changzhou market in East China is 9600 yuan / ton, -200
.
Warehouse receipt inventory: 2460 warehouse receipts, -0 sheets
.
Main positions: Top 20 long positions 212571, -3762, short positions 214949, -14677
.
Reduced
headroom.
Summary: Last week, the operating rate of domestic PVC enterprises was 74.
89%, an increase of 3.
09% month-on-month and 3.
79% year-on-year, and market supply increased
.
The operating rate of PVC downstream products enterprises has increased and increased, but the increase is more than the decrease.
In some areas, the electricity load is affected by the irregular time limit, and the start of some product enterprises has risen to around
60%.
As of October 31, the domestic PVC social inventory was 162,000 tons, both down year-on-year, indicating that the pressure on the supply side is not great
.
The obvious decline in the price of calcium carbide in the northeast has weakened the cost support
of PVC.
The intraday V2201 contract tested lower and higher, indicating that there is still some support
below it.
