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    Home > Agriculture News > Pesticide News > Rigid demand increases 2017 glyphosate is expected to rise in volume and price

    Rigid demand increases 2017 glyphosate is expected to rise in volume and price

    • Last Update: 2022-03-06
    • Source: Internet
    • Author: User
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    Looking at the entire pesticide market in 2016, from the continuous decline in the prices of various pesticides at the beginning of the year to the rapid growth in the second half of the year, many people in the industry are very confused.
    After analysis by relevant experts, they said that popular pesticide products such as glyphosate will be expected to increase in 2017.
    There will be a rise in both volume and price
    .
    In 2016, the pesticide market went out of a "V"-shaped reversal trend of first decline and then rise, and the same was true for the glyphosate market
    .
    Since the fourth quarter of last year, prices have continued to rise, with a cumulative increase of nearly 40%
    .
    At the beginning of the new year, the price of glyphosate has not stopped its rising pace.
    Some pesticide companies such as Jiangsu Yangnong Chemical have raised the sales price of glyphosate one after another
    .
    Will glyphosate be able to continue its high boom in the later period? Some industry insiders believe that driven by multiple favorable conditions such as demand recovery and environmental constraints that have prevented a large increase in production capacity, the glyphosate industry is expected to change from the current "price increase and decrease" to "Volume and price rise together
    .
    " Demand recovery has driven market supply.
    Due to the long-term downturn in the domestic pesticide industry, production capacity has continued to shrink, and inventories have almost dropped to the lowest level.
    From a mid- to long-term perspective, subsequent food crop prices are expected to rise from the bottom up, driving demand for the pesticide industry to pick up and supporting the pesticide industry The boom continues to rise
    .
    According to the preliminary forecast statistical analysis of 31 provincial-level plant protection systems across the country, the total national pesticide demand (commodity volume) in 2017 is expected to be 920,000 tons, which is nearly 300,000 tons, a decrease of about 2% over the previous year
    .
    Although pesticide varieties with a demand of more than 10,000 tons will decrease in 2017, glyphosate will still occupy the top spot for varieties with a demand of more than 10,000 tons
    .
    Internationally, the Brazilian Federal Court overturned the original ruling and allowed the cultivation and sale of glyphosate-resistant soybeans
    .
    According to the pesticide production and sales survey report released by the Brazilian Environmental Protection Agency, from January to July 2016, the cumulative export volume of glyphosate has reached 51,000 tons, a year-on-year growth rate of 32.
    7%
    .
    At the same time, the carcinogenic risk of glyphosate has been eliminated.
    The U.
    S.
    Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) released a white paper stating that there is currently no evidence that glyphosate is directly related to potential carcinogenic risks
    .
    In addition, the European Commission agreed to continue to register glyphosate for 7 years
    .
    Both domestic and foreign markets are positive for the future of glyphosate
    .
    High-pressure environmental protection market reshuffle In recent years, the state has adopted legislation, administrative supervision and other means to gradually rectify environmental protection problems that exist in pesticide companies.
    In particular, the formal implementation of the most stringent new environmental protection law in history has greatly strengthened the punishment of companies that do not meet pollution control standards.
    Intensity
    .
    On January 5, the State Council issued the "Thirteenth Five-Year" Comprehensive Work Plan for Energy Conservation and Emission Reduction
    .
    The plan emphasizes that it is strictly forbidden to approve or file capacity-increasing projects in industries with severe excess capacity in any name or in any way, and encourage local governments to formulate stricter energy conservation and environmental protection standards in accordance with the law
    .
    Environmental inspectors at the central level have also continued to show off
    .
    According to the data, as of December 30, 2016, the 7 environmental protection inspection teams received a total of 26,330 reports in 2016, of which 10,512 were ordered to rectify, 5,779 were filed for punishment, and 595 were filed for investigation
    .
    The state's environmental protection issues no longer remain verbal criticisms but have risen to administrative and legal issues
    .
    Continuous suspension and production restrictions are forcing major companies to carry out environmental protection rectifications
    .
    If you want to make money, environmental protection has become a hard target for companies, which dispels some companies that want to enter the industry
    .
    Last year, the "Thirteenth Five-Year Plan for the Pesticide Industry" officially issued by the China Pesticide Industry Association stated that by 2020, the number of pesticide technical companies in China will be reduced by 30%.
    Among them, the production of pesticides with annual sales of more than 5 billion yuan There are more than 5 enterprises, and more than 30 enterprises with annual sales of more than 2 billion yuan.
    We will focus on cultivating 2 to 3 large-scale enterprise groups with annual sales of more than 10 billion yuan and with international competitiveness
    .
    All these, the pesticide market is expected to be reshuffled in the future
    .
    Destocking triggered replenishment demand.
    Since the price of glyphosate began to fall from a high of 100,000 yuan, to 17,000 yuan in the first half of 2016.
    After a long period of price downturn, small production capacity continued to be cleared, and the overall operating rate of the company remained low.
    Inventory At a very low level
    .
    Entering the fourth quarter of last year, a new round of the glyphosate business cycle has officially begun, and individual companies have also broken orders.
    This reflects on the other hand that the inventory of glyphosate manufacturers is generally low
    .
    At present, production companies even have low inventory or are in the process of replenishment
    .
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