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On Tuesday, the rubber RU2101 contract rebounded, and futures prices closed lower
.
The current day price closed at 12400, -1.
55% from the previous trading day; Volume 397662 lots, position volume 194201 lots, -11078, basis -550; RU1-5 spread -155
.
NR2011 contract futures closed at 9240, -2.
33% from the previous session; 9648 lots were traded, 21803 lots were held, -855; NR11-12 spread was -190
.
News: 1.
Bureau of Statistics: China's August tire production increased by 13.
4%
year-on-year.
2.
The United States will issue a double-reverse "sunset" review ruling
on Chinese passenger car tires before October 9.
3.
Vietnam's mixed rubber exports to China continued to increase
in August.
4.
According to Longzhong information statistics, as of the week of September 18, the operating rate of domestic semi-steel tire manufacturers was 70.
66%, up 0.
36% month-on-month and 3.
31% year-on-year; The operating rate of all-steel tire manufacturers was 75.
05%, up 0.
19% month-on-month and 5.
09%
year-on-year.
Market quotation: Shanghai market 18-year state-owned full latex reported 11850 (-150) yuan / ton, Vietnam 3L reported 11500 (-150) yuan / ton, Thailand No.
3 tobacco film reported 15850 (-150) yuan / ton
.
Qingdao market STR20 stock spot reported 1480 (+20) US dollars / ton, Qingdao market STR20 September cargo reported 1490 (+20) US dollars / ton
.
Thai Hat Yai raw material market field glue 47.
7 (+0.
4) baht/kg; Cup gum 36.
5 (+0.
5) baht/kg
.
Domestic Yunnan Xishuangbanna glue into the dry rubber factory 10-10.
6 (+0/+0) yuan / kg, into the latex factory 10.
80 (+0) yuan / kg
.
Synthetic rubber: Qilu petrochemical styrene-butadiene rubber in North China 1502 market price 8800 (+0) yuan / ton; The market price of cis-butadiene rubber is 8500 (+0) yuan / ton
.
Warehouse receipt inventory: RU warehouse receipt 212310 tons, +350 tons; NR warehouse receipts 31,359 tons, +393 tons
.
Main positions: RU2101 top 20 long positions 91589, -878; short positions 130715, -5083; long and short are reduced together, net space is reduced
.
Summary: From the current fundamental point of view, the recent Banna weather is acceptable, rubber tapping is normal, and the supply of Banna raw materials tends to be normal
.
Overseas alternative planting index rubber has entered customs one after another, but Yunnan has recently been affected by epidemic prevention and control, and the rhythm of alternative planting index entry needs attention; The rainy weather in the Hainan production area is repeated, and the output of raw material glue is limited
.
In terms of inventory, the inventory of Qingdao Free Trade Zone is still more than 800,000 tons, and it is difficult to destock rubber during the peak supply season
.
In the downstream, at present, the number of export orders in the factory is sufficient, and there is still a shortage of individual models for domestic sales, and the double festival is approaching, and the enthusiasm of dealers in various places has been slightly improved
.
The sales volume of the heavy-duty truck market continued to grow sharply year-on-year, showing strong demand for
terminals.
On the plate, affected by the peripheral market, the RU2101 contract price once fell sharply, and then stabilized and rebounded, short-term attention to support around 12350, the recent market is greatly affected by the macro, it is recommended to temporarily wait and see or trade in the 12350-12600 range; The NR2011 contract is recommended to trade
in the 9200-9400 range.