Rubber is expected to continue to rise in the future The market may first decline and then rise

On February 9, the Ministry of Commerce issued the "Guidelines for Promoting Automobile Consumption in the Commercial Sector" and the "Some Local Experience and Practices"
.
The notice requires full use of existing automobile consumption policies, the whole chain to develop automobile circulation, and promote automobile consumption
.
The Guidelines cover the optimization of automobile purchase restrictions, rural automobile consumption, promotion of new energy vehicle consumption, automobile subsidies and finance
.

On the one hand, the Guidelines stimulate automobile sales in the short term, on the other hand, it may also reflect that it is difficult for automobile consumption to break through the current sales margin, and the game between the two sides directly affects the duration
of the Guidelines' stimulation of automobile sales.
However, the policy stimulus is still conducive to rubber demand after the year, although the tire inventory may not be large due to new energy consumption, but it will help the market recovery after the holiday
.

On the whole, although the supply of Tianjiao tightened weaker than expected, inventory fell slightly month-on-month, but demand was relatively weak before and after the holiday, coupled with the epidemic in China during the Spring Festival, the slow recovery of the European and American markets, etc.
, so that there is uncertainty in the direction of the long-short game after the holiday, and it is expected that RU futures prices will fluctuate widely, continue to pay attention to the range of 14000-15000 yuan / ton, and fluctuate in the range of 11000-16000 throughout the year
.
From the perspective of market sentiment trends, it is generally expected that the market may first decline and then rise
.