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Last week, Shanghai aluminum showed a trend of first suppressing and then rising, the main force broke through the 21000 mark during the session, the highest reached 21405 yuan / ton, as of Friday afternoon's close, the main 2202 contract of Shanghai aluminum closed up at 21130, with a cumulative weekly increase of 3.
68%.
Last week, Lun aluminum rose again, with a cumulative increase of about 4.
7% as of Friday; In the short term, the rally has not yet peaked, or is expected to touch the 3000 mark, but in the long run, this round of positive to continue to promote the price is also relatively limited, excessive chasing is still not advisable, the volatility range can pay attention to the 2880-3000 range
.
As the European smelter production reduction and shutdown further expanded, the market worries became stronger, and the intensification of foreign supply and demand contradictions drove up prices, and the domestic market was affected by its impact and also performed strongly; In addition, the trend of domestic electricity prices at the end of the year remained stable, while alumina prices continued to decline, and the profits of aluminum enterprises returned to the normal range again, coupled with the downstream stock demand before the Spring Festival, short-term demand side and macro price are supported to a certain extent, and aluminum prices continue to run strongly; The subsequent turning point can pay attention to the alleviation of the European energy crisis and inventory changes, and prices may gradually decline when the favorable subsidence
.
In terms of the market, as of Friday, the spot aluminum price in East China was between 21030-21070 yuan / ton, up 690 yuan / ton from the previous week, and the premium was 60; The market supply is sufficient, and a small amount of replenishment before the downstream fear of heights is limited; Spot aluminum fluctuation range 20500-21500 range
.
As of the close of Friday afternoon, the main 2202 contract of Shanghai aluminum closed up at 21130, with a cumulative weekly increase of 3.
68%; There is a certain support for short-term demand and macro prices, and aluminum prices continue to run strongly; The subsequent turning point can pay attention to the alleviation of the European energy crisis and inventory changes, and the price may gradually decline under the favorable subsidence; The reference oscillation range of Shanghai aluminum is 2.
05-21,600
.
