Shanghai rubber contracts fell and rebounded, and futures prices closed down in shock

News: 1.
ANRPC: Global production of tianjiao in 2021 is expected to increase by 1.
4% to 13.
79 million tons
.
2.
Bureau of Statistics: China's tire production in September fell by 14.
5%
year-on-year.
3.
Malaysia will provide RM300 "monsoon aid"
to smallholder farmers under RISDA in November.

Market quotation: Shanghai market 19 years state-owned full latex reported 13750 (-500) yuan / ton, Vietnam 3L reported 13200 (-300) yuan / ton
.
Qingdao market STR20 stock spot reported 1870 (+0) US dollars / ton, Qingdao market STR20 November cargo reported 1850 (+0) US dollars / ton
.
Qingdao area RMB Thai mix 12700 (-300) yuan / ton, RMB horse mix 12600 (-300) yuan / ton
.
Hainan state-owned glue into the whole dairy plant 12300 (-600) yuan / ton, into the concentrated milk plant 12900 (-500) yuan / ton
.
The purchase price of glue in dry rubber factory in Yunnan production area refers to 12-12.
8 (0/-0.
2) yuan/kg, and the purchase price of glue in concentrated dairy plant refers to 12.
6-13.
2 (-0.
3/-0.
1) yuan/kg
.
Field glue in Hat Yai raw material market in Thailand 53.
5 (-0.
5) baht/kg; Cup glue 47.
5 (-1.
8) baht/kg
.
Synthetic rubber: Qilu petrochemical styrene-butadiene rubber in North China 1502 market price 14300 (+0) yuan / ton; The market price of cis-butadiene rubber is 14700 (+0) yuan / ton
.

Warehouse receipt inventory: RU warehouse receipt 212080 tons, +120 tons; NR warehouse receipts 28103 tons, + 605 tons
.

Main positions: RU2201 top 20 long positions 78904, -1901; short positions 113864, -5822; long and short are reduced together, net space is reduced
.

Summary: The recent rainfall in the main producing areas is expected to decrease, the impact on the rubber tapping work will be weakened, this month's natural rubber arrival is less than expected, natural rubber imports may be difficult to increase significantly, but due to the relatively concentrated natural rubber imports in the middle and late months and poor downstream procurement, it is expected that Qingdao destocking slows down
.
Last week, the operating rate of domestic tire factories fell month-on-month and remained at a low level
.
Affected by environmental protection, some factories have stopped production and maintenance, and some factories have limited or stopped production due to factors such as limited electricity
.
Affected by the high price of raw materials and power and production restrictions, factories have a strong willingness to increase prices, but terminal demand has not increased significantly, and the market price increase transmission is weak
.
On the market, the RU2201 contract rebounded downward, focusing on support around 14300 in the short term
.