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Market situation: RU1905 rushed back down, Shanghai rubber futures price closed down
.
The day closed at 12495, -1.
23% from the previous trading day; 561936 volume; Position 326518, -13336, basis -195, +475, RuMay-September spread -255, +10
.
News: 1.
In January 2019, Thailand exported 410,000 tons of natural rubber (12475, -225.
00, -1.
77%) and mixed rubber, both down
year-on-year.
In February and January, China's imports of tianjiao shrank
sharply.
3.
South Korea's exports of synthetic rubber in January maintained a slight increase
year-on-month.
Market quotation: the quotation of 17-year state-owned whole milk (Yunxiang) in the Shanghai market is 12300 (+200) yuan / ton; Vietnam 3L quotation 11900 (+200) yuan / ton; Thailand No.
3 tobacco tablets 13950 (+200) yuan / ton; Yunnan 18 years full latex 12100 (+200) yuan / ton
.
Thai Hat Yai raw material market raw film 47.
7 (+1.
64) baht/kg; Tai San Tobacco Tablets 50.
2 (+1.
15) THB/kg; field glue 47.
2 (+1.
5) baht/kg; Cup gum 40 (+1) baht/kg
.
Synthetic rubber: Qilu petrochemical styrene-butadiene rubber 1502 market price in East China 11700 (0) yuan / ton; The market price of cis-butadiene rubber is 11900 (0) yuan / ton
.
Warehouse receipt inventory: warehouse receipt 419780 tons, -50, still at a high level
.
Main positions: Top 20 long positions 82208, -4494, short positions 107849, -2142
.
The bulls reduced their holdings by a large margin, and the headroom increased
.
At present, the domestic natural rubber production areas have entered the suspension period, and the Southeast Asian production areas have also stopped cutting
.
The rubber export reduction plan of the three countries of India, Malaysia and Thailand has boosted the Shanghai rubber market, but the actual effect remains to be seen
.
After the holiday, tire factories resumed work one after another, and the operating rate gradually recovered
.
Although China's rubber imports fell year-on-year in January, from the perspective of inventory, exchange inventories and stocks outside the bonded zone continued to increase, and the supply pressure was still obvious
.
Technically, the RU1905 contract is under pressure at the 13000 mark pressure to fall, and it is recommended to trade
in the 12300-12800 range.
