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According to data from Zhuochuang Information, as of November 16, the profit of white feather broiler breeding in November was 1.
16 yuan / piece, down 6.
67% from October and up 68.
12%
from November last year.
From the perspective of breeding costs, the price of feed and chicks continued to rise from late September to mid-to-early October, with an average breeding cost of 4.
52 yuan / jin, an increase of 9.
33% over October; From the perspective of breeding income, boosted by both cost and supply, the hairy chicken market accelerated, and the average price of broiler chickens was 4.
73 yuan / jin, an increase of 4.
53%
over October.
It is expected that the cost of broiler breeding at the end of December will be 4.
92 yuan / jin, approaching the 5 yuan mark
.
Lin Guofa, research director of Brick's agricultural products collection and purchase network, told the "Securities Daily" reporter that the rise in feed prices has increased the cost of broiler chickens significantly, and the wholesale price of the national broiler compound market at the end of October was 4.
06 yuan / kg, and in the first week of November, many feeds rose sharply again, equivalent to an increase of 0.
05 yuan per kilogram, and the price of fattening broiler batches continued to hit a record high
.
In the first week of November, the feed price of fattening broiler chickens increased by 21.
66%
compared with the same period last year.
The cost of breeding has risen significantly
Looking at public information, it can be seen that chicken seedlings and feed account for 10% to 15% and 60% to 70%
of the total cost of breeding respectively in the process of broiler breeding.
According to the monitoring data of Zhuochuang Information, the domestic broiler feed price rose to 4600 yuan / ton to 4800 yuan / ton in November, an increase of 20% to 25% from the beginning of this year, and the pressure on breeding costs is increasing
.
From the perspective of the chicken seedling market, November coincides with the last batch of hairy chickens before the replenishment of farmers, the current breeding is still in a profitable state, the enthusiasm of farmers to replenish the pen is increasing, the hatchery seedling output continues to be at a low level, the pace of seedling discharge in the seedling factory is accelerating, it is expected that the price of chicken seedlings corresponding to the slaughter broiler in December may remain at a high level of 3.
80 yuan / p.
to 4.
50 yuan / p.
, which is 10% to 15%
higher than the cost of the previous batch of slaughtered chicks.
From the perspective of comprehensive feed and chick costs, the cost of broiler breeding in December continued to rise compared with November, and the highest breeding cost of this year may be reached at the end of
the month.
In addition, the increase in winter heating costs, and the difficulty of breeding, the increase in heating costs and the decrease in weight will further increase the cost of
broiler breeding.
Zhuochuang Information expects the cost of broiler breeding in December to be 4.
80 yuan / jin, an increase of 5.
96% month-on-month and 31.
51%
year-on-year.
Sun Yanan, a broiler analyst at Zhuochuang Information, previously introduced in an interview with a reporter from "Securities Daily" that as of the end of October, the profit of white feather broiler breeding in 2022 was 1.
65 yuan / piece, an increase of 1.
24 yuan / piece compared with the breeding profit in 2021, an increase of 302.
44%.
In 2022, white feather broiler breeding will continue to be in a state of theoretical profitability, which is basically close to the psychological expectations
of the industry.
However, from the follow-up monitoring data, under the situation of rising prices of chicken seedlings and feed, the breeding profit of white-feathered broiler chickens has been further compressed
.
December profit may be lower than expected
On the whole, the white feather broiler market in December will continue to increase the state of income and cost, but the increase in breeding costs is relatively large, and the profit of broiler breeding may decline, and it is expected that the profit of a single theoretical breeding may be within 1 yuan, which is slightly lower than the psychological expectation
of the industry.
Sun Yanan told the "Securities Daily" reporter that from the current data, the highest month of broiler breeding profit in 2022 is in August, mainly due to the high price of hairy chickens in the month and the increase in income, while the price of chicken seedlings in the early stage has declined, and the cost of breeding has declined, resulting in an increase in breeding profit margins, and the profit of single broiler breeding is 2.
74 yuan
.
The lowest month was in March, and the profit of single broiler breeding was only 0.
03 yuan
.
"The breeding cycle of white feather broiler chickens is short, the time of commercial broiler is about 42 days, the breeding link is relatively passive in the market transaction link, how to better ensure breeding profits, improve efficiency, and alleviate the risks brought by the cycle in the short and medium term, practitioners can consider
from three aspects.
" 。 Sun Yanan suggested that breeding enterprises should further improve their own breeding management level to ensure the survival rate of broiler breeding and improve quality and efficiency; The aquaculture group further tends to be large-scale and centralized, and the development from a single aquaculture cooperative to a large-scale aquaculture enterprise improves its own anti-risk ability; Signing medium- and long-term contracts with downstream slaughtering enterprises can alleviate the risks
caused by market uncertainty to a certain extent.
;
;According to data from Zhuochuang Information, as of November 16, the profit of white feather broiler breeding in November was 1.
16 yuan / piece, down 6.
67% from October and up 68.
12%
from November last year.
From the perspective of breeding costs, the price of feed and chicks continued to rise from late September to mid-to-early October, with an average breeding cost of 4.
52 yuan / jin, an increase of 9.
33% over October; From the perspective of breeding income, boosted by both cost and supply, the hairy chicken market accelerated, and the average price of broiler chickens was 4.
73 yuan / jin, an increase of 4.
53%
over October.
It is expected that the cost of broiler breeding at the end of December will be 4.
92 yuan / jin, approaching the 5 yuan mark
.
Lin Guofa, research director of Brick's agricultural products collection and purchase network, told the "Securities Daily" reporter that the rise in feed prices has increased the cost of broiler chickens significantly, and the wholesale price of the national broiler compound market at the end of October was 4.
06 yuan / kg, and in the first week of November, many feeds rose sharply again, equivalent to an increase of 0.
05 yuan per kilogram, and the price of fattening broiler batches continued to hit a record high
.
In the first week of November, the feed price of fattening broiler chickens increased by 21.
66%
compared with the same period last year.
The cost of breeding has risen significantly
The cost of breeding has increased significantlyLooking at public information, it can be seen that chicken seedlings and feed account for 10% to 15% and 60% to 70%
of the total cost of breeding respectively in the process of broiler breeding.
According to the monitoring data of Zhuochuang Information, the domestic broiler feed price rose to 4600 yuan / ton to 4800 yuan / ton in November, an increase of 20% to 25% from the beginning of this year, and the pressure on breeding costs is increasing
.
From the perspective of the chicken seedling market, November coincides with the last batch of hairy chickens before the replenishment of farmers, the current breeding is still in a profitable state, the enthusiasm of farmers to replenish the pen is increasing, the hatchery seedling output continues to be at a low level, the pace of seedling discharge in the seedling factory is accelerating, it is expected that the price of chicken seedlings corresponding to the slaughter broiler in December may remain at a high level of 3.
80 yuan / p.
to 4.
50 yuan / p.
, which is 10% to 15%
higher than the cost of the previous batch of slaughtered chicks.
From the perspective of comprehensive feed and chick costs, the cost of broiler breeding in December continued to rise compared with November, and the highest breeding cost of this year may be reached at the end of
the month.
In addition, the increase in winter heating costs, and the difficulty of breeding, the increase in heating costs and the decrease in weight will further increase the cost of
broiler breeding.
Zhuochuang Information expects the cost of broiler breeding in December to be 4.
80 yuan / jin, an increase of 5.
96% month-on-month and 31.
51%
year-on-year.
Sun Yanan, a broiler analyst at Zhuochuang Information, previously introduced in an interview with a reporter from "Securities Daily" that as of the end of October, the profit of white feather broiler breeding in 2022 was 1.
65 yuan / piece, an increase of 1.
24 yuan / piece compared with the breeding profit in 2021, an increase of 302.
44%.
In 2022, white feather broiler breeding will continue to be in a state of theoretical profitability, which is basically close to the psychological expectations
of the industry.
However, from the follow-up monitoring data, under the situation of rising prices of chicken seedlings and feed, the breeding profit of white-feathered broiler chickens has been further compressed
.
December profit may be lower than expected
December profit may be lower than expected, December profit may be lower than expectedOn the whole, the white feather broiler market in December will continue to increase the state of income and cost, but the increase in breeding costs is relatively large, and the profit of broiler breeding may decline, and it is expected that the profit of a single theoretical breeding may be within 1 yuan, which is slightly lower than the psychological expectation
of the industry.
Sun Yanan told the "Securities Daily" reporter that from the current data, the highest month of broiler breeding profit in 2022 is in August, mainly due to the high price of hairy chickens in the month and the increase in income, while the price of chicken seedlings in the early stage has declined, and the cost of breeding has declined, resulting in an increase in breeding profit margins, and the profit of single broiler breeding is 2.
74 yuan
.
The lowest month was in March, and the profit of single broiler breeding was only 0.
03 yuan
.
"The breeding cycle of white feather broiler chickens is short, the time of commercial broiler is about 42 days, the breeding link is relatively passive in the market transaction link, how to better ensure breeding profits, improve efficiency, and alleviate the risks brought by the cycle in the short and medium term, practitioners can consider
from three aspects.
" 。 Sun Yanan suggested that breeding enterprises should further improve their own breeding management level to ensure the survival rate of broiler breeding and improve quality and efficiency; The aquaculture group further tends to be large-scale and centralized, and the development from a single aquaculture cooperative to a large-scale aquaculture enterprise improves its own anti-risk ability; Signing medium- and long-term contracts with downstream slaughtering enterprises can alleviate the risks
caused by market uncertainty to a certain extent.
