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The MARS report forecasts an average yield of 6.
34 mt/ha of cereal maize in the EU this year, 1% lower than the 6.
39 mt/ha forecast in September, 20% lower than last year's yield and 19% below the previous five-year
average.
34 mt/ha of cereal maize in the EU this year, 1% lower than the 6.
39 mt/ha forecast in September, 20% lower than last year's yield and 19% below the previous five-year
average.
Sunflower and soybean yield forecasts have also been revised downward, 16 percent and 18 percent
below the five-year average, respectively.
below the five-year average, respectively.
As the growing season ends, the effects of summer drought become more pronounced
, the report said.
, the report said.
This year's critical growing stages of summer crops such as maize have suffered record droughts and multiple heat waves, which have affected
crop yields.
But winter crops that were harvested before the drought escaped, such as wheat
.
crop yields.
But winter crops that were harvested before the drought escaped, such as wheat
.
In addition, some farmers harvest maize as silage, which also affects the yield
of cereal maize.
of cereal maize.
Heavy rains since late summer have delayed the corn harvest in Eastern European countries such as Romania and Hungary, but have not benefited
crops that are already ripe.
crops that are already ripe.
Last Thursday (20 October) the International Grains Council lowered EU maize production for 2022/23 to 53.
5 million mt, down from an earlier forecast of 56.
2 million mt
.
5 million mt, down from an earlier forecast of 56.
2 million mt
.
On the same day, analyst firm Strategic Grains lowered its forecast for 2022 EU corn production to 50.
4 million mt, down from 52.
9 million mt forecast in September, almost 25% lower than the 66.
8 million mt forecast in June and 28% less than 70.
2 million mt in 2021, the lowest in
15 years.
4 million mt, down from 52.
9 million mt forecast in September, almost 25% lower than the 66.
8 million mt forecast in June and 28% less than 70.
2 million mt in 2021, the lowest in
15 years.
Winter wheat sowing conditions are favorable
Widespread rainfall restores soil moisture and helps with autumn planting
of winter cereals such as wheat, the report said.
In regions facing persistent drought, such as northwestern Italy and southern Spain, there are still long sowing windows
.
of winter cereals such as wheat, the report said.
In regions facing persistent drought, such as northwestern Italy and southern Spain, there are still long sowing windows
.
Temperatures from November to January are likely to be higher than normal
In terms of short-term weather forecasts, temperatures are forecast to be above the long-term average (1991-2021) in most parts of Europe between 20 and 29 October, with the exception
of the western part of the Iberian Peninsula, the European region of Russia and most of Turkey.
Temperatures in central France, parts of Belgium, Germany, Australia and the western Balkans are projected to be 6 to 8 degrees Celsius
above the long-term average.
Daytime maxims will be above 15 degrees Celsius in most parts of Europe, with daytime highs of 25 to 30 degrees Celsius
in southeastern Spain, the French Pyrenees and southern Italy.
In contrast, temperatures in northeastern Russia and parts of Turkey are expected to be 2 degrees Celsius below the long-term average, with daytime maxims in Russia and Europe expected to be between
0 and 10 degrees Celsius.
of the western part of the Iberian Peninsula, the European region of Russia and most of Turkey.
Temperatures in central France, parts of Belgium, Germany, Australia and the western Balkans are projected to be 6 to 8 degrees Celsius
above the long-term average.
Daytime maxims will be above 15 degrees Celsius in most parts of Europe, with daytime highs of 25 to 30 degrees Celsius
in southeastern Spain, the French Pyrenees and southern Italy.
In contrast, temperatures in northeastern Russia and parts of Turkey are expected to be 2 degrees Celsius below the long-term average, with daytime maxims in Russia and Europe expected to be between
0 and 10 degrees Celsius.
Long-term weather forecasts suggest that temperatures in much of Europe are likely to be warmer than normal between November and January, with occasional cold air snaps
.
.
