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As of 12.
21, PVC shock is running strongly; social inventory is still high; PVC supply side starts gradually increase; downstream enters seasonal off-season; demand side operating rate declines slightly; downstream just needs to buy low, high price resistance
.
Futures market: as of 12.
21, the main force of PVC closed at 6335 yuan / ton (+0.
996%); Top 20 main long positions: 352960 (+14149) Short positions: 4384338 (+9055); Net position: 85478 (-5094).
Spot: as of 12.
21 East China (calcium carbide method) quotation: 6230 yuan / ton (0); South China (calcium carbide method) quotation: 6280 yuan / ton (0).
Blue charcoal: as of 12.
21, Shaanxi 1366 yuan / ton (0).
calcium carbide: as of 12.
21 North China 4100 yuan / ton (0).
The macro atmosphere is optimistic, the raw material end calcium carbide enterprises are unstable in operation, PVC enterprises are mainly in demand for calcium carbide procurement, the factory price is temporarily stable, and the cost side has not changed much; The domestic PVC spot market sentiment is weak, and prices in various regions have loosened, but market buying is still insufficient
.
Short-term PVC fundamentals are still not expected, and the long-term economic and real estate expectations are still good, but for the time being, we remain cautious about the futures rebound, and the price continues to rise further to drive
.
It is expected that the future market may show a "range shock pattern" pattern, and it is recommended to stay on the sidelines
.
