The trend of wheat market in Jiangsu Province and its forecast

Introduction: first, the recent trend of Jiangsu wheat p7u Jiangsu wheat market after April's difficult upward trend, the recent showing a steady upward trend P7u Southern Jiangsu: (Nanjing, Wuxi) due to various reasons, quite a number of flour processing enterprises have stopped production At present, the warehousing price of level 2 common white wheat remains between 1120-1130 yuan / ton, 10 yuan / ton higher than that in late April The factory delivery price of medium feed wheat is 1045 yuan / ton, 5 yuan / ton higher than that in late April P7u central region: (Nantong, Taizhou) the batch sales price of red wheat of grade 2 is 1145 yuan / ton, and the sales price of white wheat of grade 2 is about 1125 yuan / ton, 5 yuan / ton higher than that of late April P7u north area: the purchase price of grade 3 common white wheat in Yancheng flour processing enterprise is about 1080 yuan / ton, 10 yuan / ton higher than that in late April Huai'an flour processing enterprise has over 30% gluten quality and 770-780 g / L bulk purchase price of white wheat between 1090-1100 yuan / ton, up 10 yuan / ton compared with late April The purchase price of level 3 ordinary white wheat purchase and sale enterprise is about 1020 yuan / ton, and the ex warehouse price is about 1040 yuan / ton, up 5-10 yuan / ton compared with late April The price of red wheat in Lianyungang has increased significantly due to the decrease of quantity At present, the ex warehouse price of grade 2 red wheat is between 1130-1140 yuan / ton, 30-40 yuan / ton higher than that in late April; the batch purchase price of white wheat flour processing enterprises with gluten quality of more than 30% and bulk weight of 770-780 g / ton is between 1100-1120 yuan / ton, 10 yuan higher than that in late April/ Tons The purchase price of Xuzhou Level 2 ordinary white wheat flour processing enterprise is about 1085 yuan / ton, which is 5 yuan / ton higher than that in late April The purchase price of level 3 ordinary white wheat processing enterprise is 1070 yuan / ton, which is 10 yuan / ton higher than that in late April P7U With regard to the recent steady increase of wheat in Jiangsu Province, the analysis shows that: first, SARS cases have occurred in Jiangsu Province in recent years, and the phenomenon of flour rush in some areas has driven up the wheat price in Jiangsu Province to a certain extent; second, due to the impact of SARS, the rotation speed of wheat in Jiangsu and its surrounding provinces has slowed down, and at the same time, the industry of wheat transportation from Anhui and Shandong to Jiangsu Province The situation has obviously decreased, which has reduced the market supply of wheat and pulled up the price of wheat in Jiangsu Province; thirdly, there is not much left for grain purchasing and selling enterprises and farmers to store grain, and there is still a period of time before new wheat harvest For the wheat market in Jiangsu Province, this period is a gap, so the price of wheat has risen P7u2 and Jiangsu wheat market forecast at the later stage p7u from the current operation of Jiangsu wheat market, before the new wheat has not come down, there is a trend of rising steadily, but there will be no major turbulence The reasons are as follows: the development of p7u1 and SARS continues to affect the wheat market in Jiangsu Province From the current situation of SARS in Jiangsu Province, the development of SARS is just the beginning, and there is a rapid rise trend, which will bring some difficulties to the purchase of wheat raw grains, which will drive the wheat price in Jiangsu Province to rise in the morning P7u2 Judging from the wheat production this year, the sown area of wheat in autumn last year continued to decrease compared with that of last year At the same time, the disease and pest of wheat in this year are more serious than that in previous years, and the per unit yield of wheat will not exceed that in previous years Therefore, the reduction of total yield of wheat in Jiangsu this year has become a foregone conclusion Due to the influence of this aspect, the wheat price in Jiangsu still has room to rise in the near future P7u3, the wheat prices in the surrounding areas of Jiangsu Province have not changed greatly, which has restrained the sharp fluctuation of wheat prices in Jiangsu Province P7u4 The new wheat harvest is coming According to the past practice, during this period, farmers on the one hand are in urgent need of money, on the other hand, facing the new wheat harvest, they begin to sell the old wheat In this regard, to a certain extent, it will restrain the great turbulence of wheat in Jiangsu Province P7U