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At 24:00 today (14th), the ninth round of domestic refined oil price adjustment window in 2021 will open.
Institutions generally predict that this round of domestic oil prices has a high probability of ushering in a "two consecutive rises", and it is also the seventh increase in this year.
In this round of pricing cycle, international crude oil futures prices are still rising.
According to analysis by Liu Biao, an analyst at Zhongyu Information, the demand side is still the main source of support for oil prices.
As of the close of trading time on May 12, WTI June crude oil futures settlement price rose 0.
80 US dollars, or 1.
Gao Qingcui, a refined oil analyst at Zhuo Chuang Information, told the Sino-Singapore Jingwei client that during this pricing cycle, the rate of change of crude oil calculated in China fluctuated upward in a positive range, and the current round of refined oil retail prices will face an upward adjustment.
Regarding the adjustment range, according to Zhuo Chuang Information, as of the close of May 12, the reference crude oil change rate was 2.
98%, corresponding to an increase of 118 yuan/ton for gasoline and diesel.
Longzhong Information calculated that as of May 12, the comprehensive rate of change in crude oil was 4.
81%, which is expected to correspond to an increase of 125 yuan/ton.
According to the statistics of the Sino-Singapore Jingwei client, the domestic refined oil products have gone through eight price adjustment windows this year.
If the price increase is implemented, the refined oil price adjustment in 2021 will show a pattern of "seven ups, one down and one stranded".
It is understood that the next round of price adjustment window will be opened at 24:00 on May 28, 2021.
Jin Lianchuang analyst Lu Qiaohui analyzed that with OPEC+ will gradually increase crude oil production, coupled with the severe epidemic situation in some important Asian economies, the negative sentiment of the crude oil market is heating up, and the overall international crude oil may remain high and fluctuating.
According to Li Yan, an oil product analyst at Longzhong Information, the epidemic situation in India and other countries still has signs of intensification, and there may be substantial progress in the negotiation of the lifting of sanctions in the United States and Iran.
It is expected that the next round of refined oil price adjustments is likely to be lower.
Transfer from: Sino-Singapore Jingwei Client
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