Three yuan sow accounted for nearly 50%, binary sow price of 5000 yuan / head.

. In May 2020, the average domestic pig price was suppressed and then increased. At the end of May, the national average price index for three yuan pigs was RMB28.96/kg, down 2.96 yuan/kg or 9.27 per cent from RMB31.92/kg at the end of April, and rmb13.97/kg, or 93.20%, was up from RMB14.99/kg in the same period last year. Among the three regions currently counted, the lowest is 29.14 yuan/kg in northwest China, the highest is 33.88 yuan/kg in southern China, May is in the overall large-weight pig digestion stage, breeding end of large pigs backlog more, overlay central reserve frozen pork continued to be released, slaughter ingested enterprises and food processing enterprises frozen meat inventory continued to release, Coupled with the impact of imported frozen meat, breeding end panic out of the column phenomenon increased, resulting in pig market prices once down to 24 yuan / kg, but with the decline in pig prices, the farm end of the anti-sale psychological strengthening, and the market available for the column of the supply of the standard pig tight, so that the price of pigs in late May to stop falling slightly rebounded.
nSG
01 can breed sow storage column for 7 consecutive months rebound
nSGthe national can breed sow column for 7 consecutive months, may continue to increase in the amount of sow sow in May, and the proportion of three yuan hybrid species is still high, accounting for nearly 50% of the proportion of sow storage column, significantly higher than the normal year of 255 % about the level, and the reserve sow 90% from the three-yuan miscellaneous, some listed enterprises reserve sow storage column has exceeded the capacity of breeding sow storage column, May three yuan sow preferred breeding rate is still high, the overall breeding end of the reserve sow to maintain a high retention high-naughty production status, mainly due to the three yuan retention efficiency problem. According to Thea Anda, the number of sows in May 2020 increased by 6.58% month-on-month, an increase of 11.36% year-on-year. May scale field order-type supplement column enthusiasm is still high, pig farm orders as planned, Wen's shares, new hope and other large enterprise funds, resource advantages under expansion, production and introduction continue to promote, small and medium-sized farm households to order pig species there is difficult, self-breeding farm high-quality three-way sow breeding continued, three-way sows to maintain a high-stay high-stakes state, the national reserve sow column continued to increase, and the market affected by the retail supplement bar, and the enthusiasm to stay. At the end of the month, the price of binary sows of about 50 kg is still as high as about 5000 yuan/head.
nSG
02 pig storage column slowly resumed
nSGpig production into the recovery stage, under the dual role of policy incentive and market pull, pig production continued since October last year continued to return to a good situation. According to the National Bureau of Statistics, at the end of the first quarter there were 32.12 million pigs, up 3.5% from the end of the fourth quarter of last year, with 33.81 million pigs, an increase of 9.8%. According to Thea Anda, the national pig stock increased by 6.47 percent month-on-month, down 29.48 percent year-on-year. Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs data show that in March, the national pig stock increased by 3.6% month-on-month, which is also the second consecutive month of growth, February growth of 2.8% month-on-month, but in view of the long pig breeding cycle, the short-term pig production capacity gap is still difficult to recover effectively, the current Government and some places have put in place corresponding policy measures to encourage the return of pig breeding, with the epidemic under control Enterprises will speed up the supplement, traffic conditions improve, the market supplement will continue to increase, the later pig market capacity will gradually warm up, but need to pay attention to the three yuan retention ratio of higher, three yuan to retain a high proportion of high, MSY fell sharply, sow elimination is also higher, pig production capacity recovery process needs to wait for market verification.
nSG
03 pig prices fall compared to pig price lag supply increased
nSGhigh profit-driven backup sow breeding rate, October-November 2019 a large number of retained sows in December breeding, April new pig supply increased, in May weaned pig population increased, The national pig supply increased by 1.79% YoY in May. From the piglet stoking column situation, the scale of the field supplement column enthusiasm is still high, the purchase of piglets in some layout areas to lock and cultivate high-quality contract farmers in advance; Although the price of pigs fell sharply, piglets profit is still more substantial, the scale of export piglets increased. The market piglet supply is still tight, piglet prices fall behind the price of pigs lag, and the correction is not large, as of the end of May, 20kg piglet prices remain at about 1900 yuan / head.
nSG
04 breeding end panic column column weight gain
nSGMay, pig prices continue to fall to promote the breeding end of large pigs constantly panic out of the column, even about 100 kg of medium and large pigs, has been matched sows, pregnant sow selling phenomenon, the overall pig out of the column increased, and 130 kg or more pig about 70% of the total weight of pork to be digested, the overall weight of about 140 kg According to Boa and Xun estimates, the number of pigs out of the column increased by 14.35% month-on-month in May, down 43.16% YoY, and pork production increased by 15.19% YoY, down 31.49% YoY. It is expected that under the condition that the breeding profit is still high, it is expected that the pig column is expected to be reduced, but the overall will continue to maintain a high level, the current 2020 pig column is the average increase of nearly 10% YoY, mainly due to the rapid decline of pig production capacity caused by non-plague, the difficulty of filling the column and the impact of high pork prices, it is expected that the 2020 year-on-year increase in the total increase in the number of pig column is expected to be more than 10%, and thus offset the impact of the decline in the pig market.
nSG
05 State storage frozen pork release
nSGChina to actively respond to the pneumonia epidemic, increase the supply of meat market, the Ministry of Commerce in conjunction with the National Development and Reform Commission, Ministry of Finance and other departments to organize the release of central reserves of pork. Since 2020, a total of 17 batches of frozen pork from the central reserve have been released, with a cumulative delivery of 330,000 tons.
nSG
06 Import and Export,
nSGChina's pork imports of 389890.588 tons in April 2020, an increase of 5875.24 tons, or 1.53 percent, from 384015.351 tons in March 2020. This represents an increase of 253,373.33 tonnes, or 185.60%, from 136,517.257 tonnes in April 2019. Imports of fresh frozen pork in January-April 2020 were 1.32 million tons, an increase of 180% YoY, of which 390,000 tons were imported from fresh frozen pork in April, an increase of 185.6% YoY. In 2019, pork imports increased significantly, with China's total imports of pork and miscellaneous pork reaching 3.13 million tons, up 45.2% year-on-year. Among the top five countries in imports, Spain leads, followed by Germany and the United States, and is expected to increase imports to around 4 million tons by 2020.
nSG .On the export side, since the outbreak of swine fever in Africa, frozen pork exports have been decreasing, this year's new crown pneumonia outbreak affected market trade, pork exports further affected.
nSG
07 pig breeding profit accelerated
nSGMay, domestic pig farming profit accelerated to narrow, mainly by the sharp weakening of pig market prices drag down, as of June 5, 2020 self-breeding and professional breeding model (out of pig letts) pig profits were 1 784.32 yuan/head and 746.47 yuan/head, respectively, the month-on-month decline in farming profits of 271.2 yuan/head and 277.7 yuan/head, up 365.44 percent and 63.08 percent year-on-year. The cost of 115kg pig out of the out-of-farm pig column is 23.3 yuan/kg, the total cost of self-breeding pig is 14.4 yuan/kg, the difference between the two is nearly 10 yuan /kg, it is expected that the advantages of self-breeding in June are still obvious, feed cost and epidemic prevention cost is still High-level operation, if the price of pigs out of the column in June in 30 yuan / kg or so, the profit of the out-of-bought pig breeding column will be about 700 yuan / head, self-breeding pig breeding column profit will be about 1600 yuan / head, the gap between the two is still as high as 1000 yuan / head.
nSG
08 comprehensive analysis
nSG in May in the large-weight pig digestion stage, breeding end of large pig backlog more, superposition of state frozen pork weekly regular delivery, imported pork volume increased, breeding end panic large batch out of the column to suppress the first half of the pig market price fell below 30 yuan / kg, the second half of the price hit after rebounding. At present, the impact of the epidemic on the catering industry marginal weakened, the northern market after the early selling of large pigs to be digested, the supply of standard pigs tend to be tight, farmers regret to sell up price sentiment to enhance the support of pig market price rebound, but the three departments jointly launched illegal and illegal transfer of pigs "100-day special strike action", resulting in the north pig south transport is limited, 4 yuan / kg of north-south price difference still curbthed the north pig south of the activity, the northern pig procurement is not difficult to drive In the next June, the market standard pig supply is still tight, pig market production capacity slowly increased expectations, focusing on the pull of the consumer end of the rebound, with the recovery of concentrated consumption in the catering industry, schools, superposition holiday effect is expected to be enhanced, June-August pig market band rebound market can still be expected.
nSG .　　In the long run, high-farming profit overlay encouragement policy support will continue to stimulate farmers to actively fill the column, but the reserve sow in the three yuan hybrid species accounted for nearly 90%, the impact on MSY is greater, the overall supply of pigs is expected to continue to decline in the second quarter, and pig column will continue to be high to make up for the impact of the decline in the column, from the pig growth cycle, last October can breed sow column turn ingon, will correspond to 10 months later Pig out of the column, is expected to start a steady increase in the pig column in August, when the long-term pressure on pig market prices is expected to form, pig prices will gradually stabilize and tend to adjust downwards, the second half of the pig market production capacity is expected to return to the normal level of about 80% in previous years, and in view of the overall available pig column in 2020 will continue to decline year-on-year, so the pig market price center will remain high, the annual average pig market price or not less than 29 yuan / kg level. Later, we paid attention to the rhythm of pig market supplement, demand recovery and the impact of the outbreak of plague pigs in Africa.
nSG . in May 2020, the average domestic pig price was suppressed and then up. At the end of May, the national average price index for three yuan pigs was RMB28.96/kg, down 2.96 yuan/kg or 9.27 per cent from RMB31.92/kg at the end of April, and rmb13.97/kg, or 93.20%, was up from RMB14.99/kg in the same period last year. Among the three regions currently counted, the lowest is 29.14 yuan/kg in northwest China, the highest is 33.88 yuan/kg in southern China, May is in the overall large-weight pig digestion stage, breeding end of large pigs backlog more, overlay central reserve frozen pork continued to be released, slaughter ingested enterprises and food processing enterprises frozen meat inventory continued to release, Coupled with the impact of imported frozen meat, breeding end panic out of the column phenomenon increased, resulting in pig market prices once down to 24 yuan / kg, but with the decline in pig prices, the farm end of the anti-sale psychological strengthening, and the market available for the column of the supply of the standard pig tight, so that the price of pigs in late May to stop falling slightly rebounded.
nSG
01 can breed sow storage column for 7 consecutive months rebound
nSG the national can breed sow column for 7 consecutive months, may continue to increase in the amount of sow sow in May, and the proportion of three yuan hybrid species is still high, accounting for nearly 50% of the proportion of sow storage column, significantly higher than the normal year of 255 % about the level, and the reserve sow 90% from the three-yuan miscellaneous, some listed enterprises reserve sow storage column has exceeded the capacity of breeding sow storage column, May three yuan sow preferred breeding rate is still high, the overall breeding end of the reserve sow to maintain a high retention high-naughty production status, mainly due to the three yuan retention efficiency problem. According to Thea Anda, the number of sows in May 2020 increased by 6.58% month-on-month, an increase of 11.36% year-on-year. May scale field order-type supplement column enthusiasm is still high, pig farm orders as planned, Wen's shares, new hope and other large enterprise funds, resource advantages under expansion, production and introduction continue to promote, small and medium-sized farm households to order pig species there is difficult, self-breeding farm high-quality three-way sow breeding continued, three-way sows to maintain a high-stay high-stakes state, the national reserve sow column continued to increase, and the market affected by the retail supplement bar, and the enthusiasm to stay. At the end of the month, the price of binary sows of about 50 kg is still as high as about 5000 yuan/head.
nSG
02 pig storage column slowly resumed
nSG pig production into the recovery stage, under the dual role of policy incentive and market pull, pig production continued since October last year continued to return to a good situation. According to the National Bureau of Statistics, at the end of the first quarter there were 32.12 million pigs, up 3.5% from the end of the fourth quarter of last year, with 33.81 million pigs, an increase of 9.8%. According to Thea Anda, the national pig stock increased by 6.47 percent month-on-month, down 29.48 percent year-on-year. Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs data show that in March, the national pig stock increased by 3.6% month-on-month, which is also the second consecutive month of growth, February growth of 2.8% month-on-month, but in view of the long pig breeding cycle, the short-term pig production capacity gap is still difficult to recover effectively, the current Government and some places have put in place corresponding policy measures to encourage the return of pig breeding, with the epidemic under control Enterprises will speed up the supplement, traffic conditions improve, the market supplement will continue to increase, the later pig market capacity will gradually warm up, but need to pay attention to the three yuan retention ratio of higher, three yuan to retain a high proportion of high, MSY fell sharply, sow elimination is also higher, pig production capacity recovery process needs to wait for market verification.
nSG
03 piglet prices fell compared to pig price lag supply increased
nSG high profit-driven backup sow breeding rate, 1, 2019.