Where is the profit margin for pigs in the first half of 2021?

 　　January pig priceMV9 China Feed Industry Information Network-Based on feed, serving animal husbandry

　　January is about to end.

　　Pig price in FebruaryMV9 China Feed Industry Information Network-Based on feed, serving animal husbandry

　　February has not yet arrived.

　　3, April, May share pig priceMV9 China Feed Industry Information Network-Based on feed, serving animal husbandry

　　Production capacityMV9 China Feed Industry Information Network-Based on feed, serving animal husbandry

　　Since most of the fat pigs at the right age at this time are piglets produced in the three months of September, 10, and 11 last year, the three months of September, 10, and 11 are in the comfortable season of neither cold nor hot when the summer has just passed the winter; at this time Regardless of whether the pig farm works hard or not, the overall production results will be good, laying the foundation for the plump pigs to be released from March to April.

　　consumptionMV9 China Feed Industry Information Network-Based on feed, serving animal husbandry

　　The live pig market "looks at supply in the first half of the year, and consumption in the second half of the year".

　　Willingness to ColumnMV9 China Feed Industry Information Network-Based on feed, serving animal husbandry

　　In September 2020, the price of pigs began to fall, and reached the trough in October, and only began to rise from November until early December.

　　Many farms have survived through African swine fever.

　　Imagine these unintentional and unfinished pig farms, what are they waiting for? Waiting for March, April, and May to be released at the appropriate age!MV9 China Feed Industry Information Network-Based on feed, serving animal husbandry

　　The increase in market willingness to produce slaughter will greatly expand the supply capacity.

　　Comprehensive factors, underestimation of pig prices in the first half of 2021 will occur in March, April, and May.
MV9 China Feed Industry Information Network-Based on feed, serving animal husbandry

　　Pig price in June, July and AugustMV9 China Feed Industry Information Network-Based on feed, serving animal husbandry

　　Seasonal factorsMV9 China Feed Industry Information Network-Based on feed, serving animal husbandry

　　Fat pigs of the right age for 6, 7, and 8 months are the piglets produced in the three months of December, 1, and 2! December, 1, and 2 are in the coldest winter of the year, and this year is especially colder than previous years.
The temperature in many places has broken the lowest record in 30 years.
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　　Needless to say, the impact of low temperature on production, these three months play a decisive role in the PSY performance of the pig farm.
The abnormal low temperature this year will cause the survival rate of piglets at 12, 1 and 2 months to be lower than in previous years.
The chain reaction will reach the lowest value of the year when the number of fat pigs at the age of 6, 7, and 8 months is reached.
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　　Disease factorsMV9 China Feed Industry Information Network-Based on feed, serving animal husbandry

　　This winter, foot-and-mouth disease and epidemic diarrhea have basically formed a pandemic.
MV9 China Feed Industry Information Network-Based on feed, serving animal husbandry

　　The hazards of foot-and-mouth disease to piglets, in addition to the same symptoms of fever, mouth and hoof ulcers as adult pigs, and more importantly, "myocarditis" that occurs frequently in piglets, which can cause sudden and sudden death of sick piglets, bring significant losses to the pig farm, and greatly reduce Survival rate of piglets;MV9 China Feed Industry Information Network-Based on feed, serving animal husbandry

　　Epidemic diarrhea is mostly transient diarrhea in adult pigs and has limited impact.
However, the infection will take a sharp turn to the farrowing room: sows have diarrhea without food, resulting in milklessness, and piglets have high "litter elimination" under the condition of diarrhea and no milk to eat.
Frequent occurrences.
Some pig farms even adopt the extreme method of directly eliminating piglets from sows with diarrhea.
The reason is the "unconfidence" and "fear" of epidemic diarrhea.
Epidemic diarrhea is no less than any kind of disease for the piglet's ability to poison, and it is inevitable that the piglet's survival rate is low.
MV9 China Feed Industry Information Network-Based on feed, serving animal husbandry

　　In winter, the prevalence of diarrhea and foot-and-mouth disease in the delivery room is like "Xuanming and Mingling", which is self-evident to the piglets.
The large-scale occurrence of epidemic diarrhea and foot-and-mouth disease this winter appeared to reduce the survival rate of piglets at 12, 1, 2 and 3 months.
In essence, it reduced the number of slaughtered fat pigs at 6, 7, and 8 months, and the supply capacity.
What does the reduction mean?MV9 China Feed Industry Information Network-Based on feed, serving animal husbandry

　　Through the season and disease factors, it is not difficult to see that the highest price in the first half of the year will appear in June, July, and August!MV9 China Feed Industry Information Network-Based on feed, serving animal husbandry