Why is it so hard for half of the people who can't get a flu shot and give priority to protecting their children?

Wen: Zhu Xuexuan Chen Xin Wu Wei Wang Chen, Zhang Wenhong and other experts have called for the flu vaccine to reduce the risk of co-infection with neo-crown pneumonia.
, Beijing, Shanghai, Hangzhou, a western province, the information from the front line is: the flu vaccine is very tight, to queue, queue, queue.
shanghai, the vaccine has not yet arrived, the number of appointments has been 7,000 people.
this year' estimate of 50 million doses of the flu vaccine, nearly double last year's, but half of those who do not want it are likely to miss it.
September 27th, Ms. Zhang Xin, who lives in Shanghai, was finally able to take her kindergarten daughter to get the flu vaccine, more than a dozen days after her appointment.
she caught up with the morning.
recent days, there have been more and more parents consulting in the parent group.
parents have reported that even if the appointment registration is successful, has been ranked more than 400, do not know how long to wait.
400 is nothing, a private medical institution in Shanghai has reached 7,000 appointments, double the number of the same period last year.
, they don't have a vaccine yet, and are waiting for the CDC to be released.
also in recent days, at 8 o'clock a friend in Hangzhou wanted to get the flu vaccine, went to the community center, said the queue to thousands.
8 o'clock from Beijing, Shanghai and other places of community health centers have learned that the vaccine is very tight.
In one western province, the province received 370,000 doses of influenza vaccine during the entire epidemic season last year, and this year, "we want to get 4 million doses, but based on the total batch of data issued, we can only get 1.5 million to 2 million doses from manufacturers as a percentage of the population of our province."
" the province's CDC, a person engaged in immunization planning told eight o'clock health, he has never encountered this year's situation, everywhere in the telephone consultation, queuing appointments for seedling, the city and county disease control are also asking for seedling.
trend chart of new confirmed cases in the UK every day.
source: Hopkins University in recent times, Europe has been hit by the second wave of new crown outbreaks.
September 20, Dr. Zhang Wenhong spoke at a forum: The second wave is inevitable.
And on September 24, Qingdao added two new cases of asymptomatic infection, both loading and unloading workers in Qingdao Port, while 51 positive samples were detected in imported cold chain products, although no more were found the next day, but still brought tension.
screenshot of Zhang Wenhong's speech video.
this time, the new crown vaccine is not yet on the market, how to do? Experts such as Academician Wang Chen and Dr. Zhang Wenhong have previously called for flu vaccinations to reduce the risk of co-infection.
but the flu vaccine is also "difficult to find."
industry experts estimate that 50 million doses of the flu vaccine will be issued nationwide this year, almost double last year's total, but more than half of those who are willing to do so may not be able to do so.
seeing the second wave of the epidemic show the potential for mountain rain, why is it so difficult to get a flu vaccine first? A month early, on September 25th, Beijing residents began making appointments to get their own flu vaccine.
the first day of the appointment, at 8 o'clock Jianwen called the appointment telephone announced by several community health service centers in Beijing, from 2 p.m. to 4 p.m., the telephone is all lines, none connected.
the same afternoon, at the Zhoujiadu Community Health Service Center in Shanghai's Pudong New District, community residents were already queuing up to get vaccinated.
staff, there are currently 200 children's flu vaccines a day, the day before (September 24) 50 adult flu vaccines.
"Last year's flu season has been intermittent people to get the vaccine, this year the situation is different, the last week with the vaccine, suddenly a lot of residents gathered to consult.
" vaccine expert Taulina has also recently received a lot of vaccination advice, "compared to previous years, this year's flu vaccine caused social concern earlier."
" Tao Ena believes that this has a lot to do with the new crown outbreak and the promotion of experts such as Wang Chen and Dr. Zhang Wenhong.
influenza is an acute respiratory infection caused by the influenza virus, which occurs during the flu season from November to March and can cause 3 to 5 million serious cases and 290,000 to 650,000 respiratory disease-related deaths worldwide.
February 2018 Beijing Middle Age under the flu, documents the treatment of an elderly man who was hit by the flu during the last 29 days of his life and the impact on his family.
flu vaccine is effective against influenza and usually takes 2 to 4 weeks after vaccination to produce protective levels of antibodies in the body, so September and October are the optimal time periods for vaccination each year.
As early as April this year, Zhang Wenhong said in an interview, in order to prevent the autumn and winter of the new crown and influenza infection, "this year, I will certainly go to the flu vaccine, at least the risk of combined infection greatly reduced."
" August 14 at the opening ceremony of the annual meeting of the Chinese Association of Science and Technology, Wang Chen said, "Autumn and winter and winter spring festival, once the new crown pneumonia combined with influenza, will increase the difficulty of identification and diagnosis, the social load of isolated population significantly increased, the consumption of social resources significantly increased, the population mortality rate will rise."
" most effective prevention is the timely and universal vaccination of influenza.
Wu Guizhen, chief biosecurity expert at the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention in China, believes that the simultaneous use of influenza vaccines and new crown vaccines, if influenza can be avoided, reduce the chance of going to fever clinics, not only for the benefit of individuals, the impact on medical institutions will be reduced.
departments are also responding in advance.
July 14th, the influenza vaccine produced by the Shanghai Biological Products Research Institute of China obtained the first batch of domestic influenza vaccine biological products issued in 2020.
was issued nearly a month ahead of the first flu vaccines in previous years.
In order to guide influenza vaccination, on September 10, the CDC issued the China Influenza Vaccination Technical Guidelines (2020-2021), more than a month ahead of last year's release of the China Influenza Vaccination Technical Guidelines (2019-2020).
, residents line up to get the flu vaccine at the Zhoujiadu Community Health Services Center in Pudong New District, Shanghai, Sept.
Wu's production has doubled, but half of them may not be able to match the demand for an early-start flu vaccine, and industry experts expect the number and vaccination rates to double in 2020 compared with 2019.
2020, a total of 10.54 million flu vaccines were issued in January-August 2020, up 52% year-on-year, according to Southwest Securities.
by September, market releases had not slowed.
according to the information on the issuance of biological products published by the China Food and Drug Inspection Research Institute, from September 1 to September 20, the cumulative batch issuance of influenza vaccines has reached 11.46 million doses.
, the cumulative number of flu vaccines issued this year has reached 22 million.
this is close to the total of 28 million doses for the whole of 2019.
screenshot from: "China Influenza Vaccination Technical Guidelines (2020-2021)" Zhang Hui, vice president of the China Food and Drug Inspection Research Institute, said on August 30, 2020 flu vaccine issuance is expected to reach 50 million doses.
at the 2020 Academic Exchange on Seasonal Influenza Prevention and Control Strategies, Feng Erchao, a professor at the Beijing Concord Medical School of the Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, also predicted that the number of flu vaccines issued in 2020 is expected to double from 2019 to 50 million doses.
august and September of this year, Zhejiang, Shandong, Hubei and other provinces have introduced non-immunization programs for the second time to supplement procurement projects, most of which are influenza vaccines.
the aforementioned western province CDC sources explained that the province from July and August issued documents to prepare for respiratory disease-related vaccination work, and carry out appropriate training.
strong intention to vaccinate this year, the original winning company may not be enough to guarantee the province's flu vaccine supply.
, a number of provinces have announced the addition of the list of enterprises and products for the procurement of influenza vaccines, hoping that more channels to ensure the supply of influenza vaccines in various places.
this person, the production and distribution of influenza vaccine has not yet entered the peak, according to previous years of experience, the peak of influenza vaccination is October to January, the vaccine supply will be higher, it is recommended to batch vaccination.
even though the number of issues has doubled from last year, the market remains unbalanced.
that this year's flu vaccine shortage will be worse than last year's.
", based on an estimated 50 million grants, could increase vaccination rates to 4 percent this year.
, but if the vaccine is sufficient, I think the vaccination rate can reach about 10%.
" means that more than half of 20 percent of people who are willing to get vaccinated may not get the flu vaccine.
priority to protect kindergarten children and medical personnel at present, all over the country is in the peak of influenza vaccination, this contradiction between supply and demand is particularly prominent.
shanghai, for example, this year for the first time in kindergartens in advance to consult the need for influenza vaccination.
with the urging of kindergarten teachers and the special proprietary appointment channels on Shanghai's "Health Cloud" smart vaccination platform, many parents are more willing to vaccinate than in previous years, and almost everyone in kindergartens has signed up.
" above according to the spirit conveyed is that priority is given to the protection of kindergarten children and medical personnel.
" Shanghai Yihang District CDC staff told eight o'clock health, "in addition to these groups, there are a small number of self-costed adult four-price vaccine, but the demand is too large, basically after the delivery, the next day it is finished."
" the staff member said that in previous years the flu vaccine is only in October, although this year's progress ahead of schedule, the end of August there are a small number of vaccines, but a large number of delivery, still have to wait until mid-to-late October.
In the context of the continuing global epidemic of the new crown epidemic, the China Influenza Vaccination Technical Guide (2020-2021) recommends priority and high-risk population vaccination - medical personnel;
new free flu vaccination policy introduced in some cities this year has also increased the pressure on vaccination efforts.
September 4th, the epidemic prevention and control headquarters of Fuyang City, Hubei Province issued a notice, in order to do a good job in the prevention and control of infectious diseases in autumn and winter, from September to October for all kinds of school students in the city, kindergarten children free of charge flu vaccination.
, in Zhejiang Province, people over the age of 70 with household registration in the province will be free of charge for voluntary influenza vaccinations this year, with the number of people in the focus of free vaccinations expected to be more than 1 million.
zhejiang primary disease control center staff to Tao Ina reflected that Zhejiang Province, 70 years old people free of charge flu vaccination policy came out, their town's elderly almost everyone vaccinated.
"inoculated about 3000 doses in previous years, this year it is estimated that all of the vaccinations will be 7,000 doses."
", free, out-of-the-way flu vaccination requirements are centrally released at all ages, but it is not possible to issue them centrally.
" Taurina analysis, which is the current shortage of influenza vaccine is an important reason.
the balance between supply and demand for influenza vaccines is so difficult in recent years, the flu season flu vaccine every year there is a bit of "oversupply".
influenza vaccine is a class II self-funded vaccine in China, self-funded voluntary species.
, China's flu vaccination rate has remained around 2% for years, far less than the 40% rate in Europe and the United States, which has become a pain in the hearts of some public health experts.
flu vaccination rates have increased in recent years following major public health events.
five years after SARS in 2003, vaccinations jumped from about 3 million doses in 2003 to 37 million doses in 2008.
" at present, affected by the new crown, this year, the awareness and recognition of vaccines has greatly improved.
," Taurina said.
but flu vaccine manufacturers still have concerns.
" 2009 flu, the vaccination rate had another small blowout, but then dropped to a low level of vaccination.
this focus reflects the public's not yet fundamentally aware of the health benefits of the flu vaccine, 'good scars forget pain'.
coupled with recent years, some domestic vaccine companies after the exposure of production events, the industry is even worse, China's influenza vaccination rate has been maintained at about 2% for many years.
"s influenza vaccine manufacturer Sanofi Pasteur replied at 8 a.m.
, the flu vaccine is a non-immune-planned vaccine, resulting in unpredictable demand forecasts and a strong seasonality, manufacturers maintain a relatively conservative production strategy.
the current production of influenza vaccine in China or rely on traditional SPF chicken embryo production technology, production capacity also depends on the number of eggs ordered by manufacturers.
production and supply strategies are therefore inextricable, and only early predictions of vaccine use and more accurate predictions can guarantee the availability of vaccines for the current flu season.
in previous years, the flu vaccine produced by manufacturers is partially scrapped each year.
the above-mentioned western province disease control sources revealed that the province last year, more than 10,000 doses of adult influenza vaccine scrapped, "some flu vaccine only arrived in January, but the best time to get the vaccine has passed, many people do not fight."
can we balance the supply and demand for influenza vaccines? In response to the eight-point report, Pasteur said that the inclusion of influenza vaccines in the scope of public-funded vaccinations for specific groups such as the elderly and medical staff would not only significantly increase the vaccination rate of the population, but would also make the prediction of vaccine demand more accurate, supply more stable and manufacturers more motivated to produce them.
, relevant government departments should set up and improve the influenza vaccine supply and demand dialogue platform, establish a supply and demand linkage mechanism, so that enterprises can prepare production plans in advance.
in this article Zhang Xin as a name.
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