BP, the UK oil giant, undergoes a major CEO-led leadership overhaul and announces a full return to the 'oil-and-gas era'.

BP, the UK-based oil and gas giant, is accelerating its strategic reshaping at unprecedented speed. On Tuesday, newly appointed CEO Meg O'Neill announced a comprehensive restructuring of the company's leadership team and reporting structure, refocusing its business squarely on its core oil-and-gas operations—marking a complete reversal of the low-carbon transition strategy spearheaded by former CEO Bernard Looney in 2020. Under the new plan, effective July 1, BP will establish two major operating divisions: Gordon Birrell will serve as Executive Vice President for Upstream, overseeing oil and gas exploration, development, and production; Richard Harding will assume the role of Interim Executive Vice President for Downstream, responsible for refining, retail service stations, and lubricants. BP stated that this restructuring will not involve layoffs. Barclays analyst Lydia Rainforth noted in her research report that the new structure "restores clearer upstream accountability and aligns BP with its industry peers." She described the change as "positive, though execution and implementation remain critical." This restructuring follows a period of turbulence at BP. Non-executive Chairman Albert Manifold was abruptly removed in late May—just eight months after assuming office. Upon taking office, O'Neill had already signaled the planned structural adjustments to employees, widely viewed by observers as a key step toward rebuilding internal trust and driving strategic transformation. Structural Restructuring: Departing from Low-Carbon Transition, Returning to Oil-and-Gas Core Business The heart of this restructuring lies in fundamentally overhauling the strategic direction established under Looney. In 2020, Looney steered BP toward a significant pivot into low-carbon businesses, deliberately scaling back fossil fuel assets. By contrast, O'Neill’s new architecture realigns BP’s operational model closely with those of other international oil majors.

[Crude Oil Morning Brief] Market divided on OPEC+’s potential output increase in December (20241030)

1. U.S. API crude oil inventories for the week ending October 25 declined by 573,000 barrels, versus an expected increase of 2.3 million barrels and a prior reading of +1.643 million barrels. Cushing crude inventories rose by 320,000 barrels, following a prior decline of 216,000 barrels. Gasoline inventories fell by 282,000 barrels, against an expected rise of 600,000 barrels and a prior decline of 2.019 million barrels. Distillate inventories dropped by 1.463 million barrels, compared to an expected decline of 1.595 million barrels and a prior decline of 1.478 million barrels. 2. [Probability of a 25-basis-point Fed rate cut in November stands at 98.8%] According to the CME’s 'FedWatch' tool: The probability of a 25-basis-point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in November is 98.8%, while the probability of holding rates steady is 1.2%. By December, the probability of maintaining current rates is 0.3%; the probability of a cumulative 25-basis-point cut stands at 21.5%; and the probability of a cumulative 50-basis-point cut is 78.3%. 3. U.S. Presidential Election Win Probability Comparison (20241030) October 29 1. The CEO of Petrobras stated that production is expected to rise in 2025 as new platforms come online. 2. Saudi Aramco’s CEO: "I believe the market is currently balanced." Saudi Aramco’s CEO also projected next year’s output at 106 million barrels, up from 104.5 million barrels this year. 3. BP’s CEO: "Oil demand will rebound to normal growth levels once China introduces stimulus measures." He added that current refining margins are dismal, and that global oil demand growth in 2024 and 2025 will be slightly below average due to China’s impact. 4. [Saudi Energy Minister: Saudi Arabia is advancing its energy transition] At the Riyadh Future Investment Initiative conference, Saudi Energy Minister Abdulaziz bin Salman outlined the Kingdom’s energy and economic transformation plans. He emphasized that Saudi Arabia is striving to evolve from a petroleum producer and exporter into a manufacturing hub capable of capturing value and generating wealth. Natural gas forms the foundation of Saudi Arabia’s energy transition efforts—a clean-burning fuel vital to industry. He further noted that the Kingdom is also pursuing improved fuel efficiency and broader diversification of its energy mix. Saudi Arabia plans to launch tenders for 44 GW of renewable energy projects before year-end. 5. [Reported: U.S. proposes a 28-day Gaza ceasefire agreement]

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