What specific supply deficit does INES project for Germany in a cold winter scenario during January–March 2027?

INES projects a supply deficit totaling 20 terawatt hours (TWh) for Germany during January, February, and March 2027 in a cold weather scenario modeled on the temperature levels of the reference year 2010.

Why does INES warn that a 76% gas storage booking level is insufficient for supply security next winter?

INES warns that a 76% storage booking and filling level is only sufficient if weather conditions are favorable, and that in a cold scenario—such as that modeled on 2010 temperatures—more than 35% of gas consumption could go uncovered on individual days, posing a security of supply risk even at that booking level.

Germany Faces Supply Risk in Cold Winter, Gas Storage Group Warns

May 12, 2026

INES warns Germany may face supply deficits next winter despite 76% storage levels if cold weather persists. Low gas prices due to LNG disruptions limit economic incentives to physically fill storage capacities.

reuters

2026-05-12

Germany Faces Supply Risk in Cold Winter, Gas Storage Group Warns

2026-10-31

Germany must do more to boost gas reserves as storage levels hit record low, lobby group says

Germany Faces Supply Risk in Cold Winter, Gas Storage Group Warns

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