According to Yara International's CEO, what is the main risk fertiliser price surges pose to Africa amid the US-Israel war on Iran?

The main risk is a 'global auction on fertiliser' that makes it unaffordable for Africa’s poorest and most vulnerable communities, threatening food security and undermining Africa’s potential to achieve self-sufficiency—or even become a food exporter—due to its current heavy reliance on food imports and acute vulnerability to soaring fertiliser prices.

What specific supply chain disruptions in nitrogen-based fertilisers has the Iran war caused, as reported by Yara and S&P Global?

The war has choked supplies of urea—35% of which comes from Gulf states—causing its price to rise 60–70% since late February; simultaneously, ammonia production (a foundational raw material for nitrogen fertilisers) has been severely disrupted, with countries like Qatar suspending output due to safety risks, leading to daily production losses that will take weeks or months to reverse.

Iran War May Cause Food Shortages in Africa, World’s Largest Fertiliser Firm Says

May 1, 2026

Yara International CEO warns the Iran conflict risks a global fertiliser auction, driving urea prices up by 60-70% and threatening food security in vulnerable African nations dependent on Middle East supplies.

theguardian

2026-05-01

Iran War May Cause Food Shortages in Africa, World’s Largest Fertiliser Firm Says

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Iran War May Cause Food Shortages in Africa, World’s Largest Fertiliser Firm Says

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