What is the median forecast for the STOXX 600 index at the end of 2026, and how does that compare to its current level?

The median forecast from the Reuters poll (conducted August 12–26) is that the STOXX 600 will end 2026 at 670 points, representing a rise of about 2% from current levels; this would mark a record high for the index and lift its full-year 2026 gain to more than 13%, following an almost 17% rise in 2025.

What key factor is driving optimism for European equities despite geopolitical risks, and how strong were recent earnings?

Robust corporate earnings are the key driver of optimism, with European companies delivering 24.1% year-on-year earnings growth in Q2 2026 — the strongest quarterly growth since Q3 2022 and, excluding the post-pandemic recovery period, the fastest in over a decade.

STOXX 600 Forecast to Rise Modestly by Year-End, Poll Shows

Aug 26, 2026

A Reuters poll forecasts the STOXX 600 to reach record highs by year-end driven by strong earnings, though investors remain cautious due to geopolitical risks and rising crude oil and natural gas prices.

reuters

2026-08-26

STOXX 600 Forecast to Rise Modestly by Year-End, Poll Shows

STOXX 600 Forecast to Rise Modestly by Year-End, Poll Shows

FAQ