According to the Reuters poll, how have global inflation forecasts for 2026 changed—and for how many of the top 50 economies?

The Reuters poll, conducted from March 27 to April 27 and covering the top 50 global economies, found higher 2026 inflation forecasts for 44 of them, with few substantial changes to economic growth expectations except in the Gulf region.

What is the main reason cited in the article for rising inflation expectations, and what unprecedented geopolitical development is driving it?

The main reason cited is Iran's chokehold on one-fifth of global oil supply through its closure of the Strait of Hormuz, which has faded prospects for lower energy prices and forced economists and central banks to contemplate an extended period of higher inflation—a situation described as essentially ahistorical with no clear precedent.

Global Inflation Worries Stir on Energy Price Flare-Up: Reuters Poll

Apr 28, 2026

A Reuters poll of 500 economists forecasts higher global inflation due to Middle East tensions threatening oil supplies via the Strait of Hormuz. Central banks monitor the situation as crude prices exceed $110 per barrel while growth expectations remain largely stable.

reuters

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