What did IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva say about the current status of the IMF's economic scenarios in light of the ongoing Middle East war?

IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva stated that the continuation of the war in the Middle East means the IMF's previously projected 'minor slowdown of global growth and a minor increase in prices' scenario is no longer possible, and that the IMF's 'adverse scenario' is already in effect.

According to the IMF chief, what specific economic conditions could worsen if the Middle East war extends into 2027?

According to IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva, if the Middle East war drags into 2027 and oil prices reach around $125 per barrel, inflation would already be picking up and the global economy could face a 'much worse outcome'; she also warned that while long-term inflation expectations remain anchored and financial conditions are not yet tightening, those conditions could change if the war continues.

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