How should we view the A-share market performance on September 7, 2026?

The rally on November 21, 2025, occurred after a decline from 26,182 points, rebounding when the index reached the zone between the 100-day and 120-day moving averages. The rally on January 21, 2026, also took place after the index fell to the 100-day moving average. From November 2025 to March 2026, the Nasdaq-100 broadly oscillated between 26,000 and 24,000 points, eventually breaking down below 23,000 before entering its main upward phase. Starting in June 2026, if funds truly aim to sustain a high-level consolidation, the overall range should likely be between 30,000 and 27,000 points. Therefore, there’s no need to get excited merely because the Nasdaq-100 is rising—unless it achieves a confirmed breakout above its previous all-time high, it remains just a range-bound oscillation. III. The Shanghai Composite Index appears poised to choose a direction soon. This, too, hinges on subjective judgment. — Pessimists target 3,300 points. — Conservatives target 3,700 points. — Optimists target 4,200 points. — Aggressive bulls view 4,500 points merely as an intermediate level, with a long-term target of 10,000 points. IV. There’s no need to monitor the ChiNext Index. After plunging from its peak high, it gapped down sharply and broke decisively below its annual (250-day) moving average—and failed to reclaim that level for three consecutive days. As previously stated: every rally presents an opportunity to exit. The next several years will undoubtedly be a major bear market. V. Liquor Sector The CSI Liquor Index remains in consolidation, trading between 7,000 and 6,400 points. Currently, the medium-sized bullish candlestick formed on July 15 appears unlikely to be fully engulfed. It seems capital is awaiting positive catalysts—hoping to leverage favorable news or announcements to push prices higher. If the index rises above 7,000 points, the next resistance zone lies between 7,800 and 8,200 points; a genuine breakthrough would require substantive positive news or strong earnings reports. VI. Finally, this bull market, which began on September 24, 2024, feels quite similar to the 2014–2017 bull run. Before the 2015 stock market crash, the market was driven by leverage—while tech stocks surged dramatically, the liquor sector saw relatively little appreciation. Yet, following the circuit-breaker crashes in early 2016, Kweichow Moutai began leading the rally starting in February 2016. Kweichow Moutai, Gree Electric, and Ping An Insurance then led a ‘value-driven bull market’ throughout 2016–2017—while, conversely, tech leaders such as Baofeng Technology plunged relentlessly throughout 2015’s bear market.

What are people’s views on the A-share market performance on September 7, 2026?

Breakdown of the downward-sideways consolidation channel—adjustment wave continues! Amid strong gains in overseas markets, the broad market index opened slightly higher, briefly breached the upper boundary of its consolidation channel—but failed to hold above it. In the afternoon, heavy-volume selling emerged, breaking decisively below the channel’s lower boundary. Although a small lower shadow appeared near the close, it cannot alter the prevailing one-way adjustment wave pattern—fully aligning with the pre-market analysis forecasting a trend-oriented downward trajectory. From the perspective of daily volatility amplitude, yesterday’s range widened compared to the prior day, causing today’s amplitude to widen further—a key characteristic signaling a shift in institutional control patterns. Pre-market analysis emphasized that the next daily cycle turning point falls on September 8—only then would both time and space cycles be sufficiently aligned, matching the weekly cycle’s turning week. Indeed, this week closed bearish—yet the sole negative factor was the high-volume bearish close, indicating the one-way adjustment trend will persist. From the standpoint of daily-wave structural analysis, even if Wave 5 completes, there’s no certainty a second extension wave (i.e., a subsequent upward leg) will follow—the first extension wave has long since concluded. Conversely, if no second extension wave materializes, a downward wave becomes highly probable—meaning the rally has already ended, and downside risk ahead is even greater.

CW75 Index Performance: September 16, 2026

Sep 17, 2026

The CW75 index fell 2.37% last week amid broader equity declines, though Sasol shares surged significantly during the trading period.

chemweek

2026-09-17

CW75 Index Performance: September 16, 2026

CW75 Index Performance: September 16, 2026

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