The progress in U.S.-Iran nuclear talks has led to a drop in oil prices; what impacts will this have on the global crude oil market?

Fifth, according to Reuters, the Trump administration is considering deploying several thousand additional U.S. troops to the Middle East. What does 'additional deployment' mean? The original 5,000 soldiers we reported on are already en route—and now thousands more ground forces are being added, primarily targeting the Strait of Hormuz. Sixth, the latest report states that ground operations will not commence at this stage. Preparations are underway for a total force approaching 10,000 personnel—not just troops, but also equipment, ammunition, and supplies. A second U.S. Marine Corps amphibious ready group is now heading toward the Middle East: as Reuters reported, the amphibious assault ships USS Bonhomme Richard (carrying the 11th Marine Expeditionary Unit), USS Constellation, and USS Portland have just departed from the U.S. West Coast. This force comprises 4,400 personnel, divided across two amphibious ready groups, with another group simultaneously departing from the Gulf of Mexico. Now, turning to Iran’s situation: First, according to sources within Israel’s National Security Ministry who spoke to Fox News: following the elimination of Iran’s former senior leadership on February 28, the current leadership has been left fragmented and chaotic—rendering it incapable of functioning normally. The newly appointed successor, Mojtaba Khamenei, dares not appear publicly. Reliable sources indicate he neither controls nor leads the regime—or rather, he cannot control or lead its remaining factions. The so-called new leader is effectively a figurehead, holding only nominal authority. Second, after the assassination of Iran’s powerful figure Ali Larijani, Iranian state media announced his replacement: Hossein Dehghan. Previously commander of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) and Iran’s Defense Minister, Dehghan later oversaw Iran’s overseas military operations—including the establishment and support of terrorist organizations such as Hamas, Hezbollah, and the Houthis. His activities in Lebanon laid the groundwork for Hezbollah’s rise. Rumors describe him as a ‘bloodthirsty devil,’ signaling that Iran’s policy toward the U.S. and Israel will grow significantly more hardline. Finally, is Trump insane? According to the latest media reports, this move represents a massive betrayal of the U.S.’s Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) allies. First, U.S. Treasury Secretary Bessent stated that the U.S. may lift sanctions on approximately 140 million barrels of Iranian oil currently under embargo. Previously, due to sanctions, no one dared purchase this oil—so it went exclusively to Asian countries, which paid in local currencies at heavily discounted prices. Now Bessent says: ‘Everyone can buy these 140 million barrels.’ This development has triggered widespread excitement—because Iran stands to earn a windfall of over $10 billion. Just recently, Trump authorized Russia to export 130 million barrels of oil, enabling Putin to reap enormous profits. Now he’s doing the same for Iran—because Trump can no longer withstand soaring oil prices and hopes to suppress global oil prices. Second, media reports characterize this as a massive betrayal of GCC allies: by launching military action, the U.S. has paralyzed Gulf allies’ oil exports—while watching Iran continue selling its oil unimpeded. How, then, should Gulf nations respond? Third, experts analyze that Trump’s move may actually escalate Iran’s attacks against Gulf oil infrastructure. Because this lifting of sanctions came only *after* Iran escalated its attacks, Trump’s logic implies that Iran will be further incentivized to intensify strikes on the Strait of Hormuz. As long as Iran strangles the Strait’s oil flow, Trump will capitulate—thus turning this conflict into an increasingly perverse, self-defeating spiral.

Has the U.S.-Canada tariff war taken a dramatic turn? Canada holds ‘three trump cards’—who’s really afraid of whom?

Yet the script refused to follow Trump’s predetermined storyline. Just one day before the tariffs were set to take effect, Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau upended the table: negotiations were off, the delegation withdrawn, and all communication channels severed. The next day, in a nationwide televised address, Trudeau delivered a sharp warning: “We have been attacked.” Being ‘attacked’ constitutes a state of war—so Canada would retaliate dollar-for-dollar: if the U.S. imposed a 50% tariff, Canada would impose a 50% tariff in return. On September 8, retaliatory tariffs—ranging across three tiers of 15%, 25%, and 50%—were fully implemented on 700 categories of U.S. goods, without exception. And that was only the beginning: Canada swiftly unveiled a CAD $7.5-billion relief package to subsidize domestic enterprises and bolster national morale—clearly signaling its readiness for a protracted trade war. But the real drama lies ahead—because Trudeau still holds three potent ‘trump cards,’ each capable of delivering precise, effective counterstrikes against the U.S. First trump card: cutting off electricity. Over 80% of U.S. electricity imports come from Canada. Hydroelectric power from Canada lights up 1.5 million American households. Ontario Premier Doug Ford has already declared: “Push me further, and I’ll cut off power to the U.S.” Second trump card: cutting off minerals. Over 60% of U.S. crude oil imports originate in Canada—some 4 million barrels per day—on which Midwest refineries depend entirely for heavy oil feedstock; they simply cannot process crude from alternative sources. Nearly 100% of U.S. natural gas imports come from Canada. One-quarter of U.S. nuclear power plants rely on uranium fuel from Canada. And half of all primary aluminum consumed annually in the U.S. comes from Canada. Premier Ford bluntly warned: cutting off critical mineral supplies means “you won’t get even a grain of sand.” Third trump card: cutting off agricultural inputs—the most devastating of all. Nearly 80% of potash fertilizer used by U.S. farmers originates in Canada; Saskatchewan alone accounts for 87% of U.S. potash imports. Potash is the cornerstone of fertilizer—and fertilizer is the cornerstone of food production. Ford issued an unequivocal threat: severing potash supply would cause U.S. agriculture to collapse overnight. Reuters dubbed potash Canada’s “nuclear option.” While Russia and Belarus also produce potash, both countries are already under comprehensive U.S. sanctions—leaving Washington with no viable alternative supplier. This raises a puzzling question: how did a country that had played the role of America’s “quiet neighbor” for over a century suddenly flip the table? Many view this confrontation as a momentary outburst by Canada—but that’s inaccurate. Before acting, Trudeau had weighed every scenario a thousand times—and concluded there truly was no way back. Let’s first examine Trump’s demands. This round was never about money. He demanded Canada grant the U.S. exclusive rights to its critical minerals—and insisted Canada seek U.S. approval before engaging in trade with any third country. Most alarmingly, he even sought to eliminate protections for the French language and bilingual signage—a constitutional red line in Quebec. Trudeau stated plainly: “To Americans, French is an annoyance—but in Canada, it’s a right.” Trump’s maneuver struck directly at the heart of Canadian sovereignty. When a neighbor begins dictating how you speak at home and whom you’re allowed to befriend, the dispute is no longer about tariffs—it’s about whether you remain an independent nation. Recall that, in recent years, the notion that “Canada is the 51st U.S. state” has circulated widely. Trudeau isn’t merely defending tariffs—he’s defending sovereignty itself, and national dignity.

Trump Says US Working on Deal to Purchase Potash from Belarus

17 hours ago

President Trump announced plans to purchase potash from Belarus at lower prices than Canadian imports to aid farmers. Analysts remain skeptical about significant market impact due to existing supply abundance and high shipping costs.

reuters

2026-04-07

Brent settles down on economic worries, US crude up ahead of Trump deadline for Iran

2026-09-21

Trump Says US Working on Deal to Purchase Potash from Belarus

Trump Says US Working on Deal to Purchase Potash from Belarus

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