What are the EIA's 2026 projections for U.S. natural gas production and domestic consumption, and how do they compare to 2025 levels?

The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) projects U.S. dry natural gas production will rise from a record 107.7 billion cubic feet per day (bcfd) in 2025 to 111.0 bcfd in 2026, and domestic natural gas consumption will increase from a record 91.9 bcfd in 2025 to 92.1 bcfd in 2026. These figures represent new all-time highs for both supply and demand, with the 2026 production forecast revised upward from the May projection of 110.6 bcfd, and the 2026 demand forecast also raised from 91.2 bcfd.

How does the EIA project U.S. LNG exports and coal production to change between 2025 and 2027?

The EIA forecasts average U.S. liquefied natural gas (LNG) exports will rise from a record 15.1 bcfd in 2025 to 17.2 bcfd in 2026 and 18.6 bcfd in 2027. Concurrently, U.S. coal production is projected to decline from a two-year high of 528.4 million short tons in 2025 to 518.4 million tons in 2026 and 496.8 million tons in 2027—the lowest level since 1963—reflecting reduced coal use by power generators.

US Natural Gas Output and Demand to Hit Record Highs in 2026, EIA Says

Jun 9, 2026

The U.S. Energy Information Administration forecasts record natural gas production and consumption in 2026, alongside rising LNG exports and declining coal usage driven by power generation shifts.

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