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The EIA expects renewable diesel supplies -- domestic production and net imports -- to overtake biodiesel supplies in the near term, according to Hydrocarbon Processing on March 24
.
EIA expects renewable diesel supplies to increase to 130,000 bpd in 2022 and 145,000 bpd in 2050, reflecting the significant recent increase in renewable diesel capacity
Biodiesel includes biodiesel and renewable diesel, both of which are derived from the same types of fats, oils and grease feedstocks
.
Renewable diesel is chemically indistinguishable from petroleum diesel (known as embedded diesel), which means it meets existing infrastructure and diesel engine usage specifications without any blending restrictions
EIA anticipates higher state and federal targets for renewable fuel production, incentives for tax breaks, and conversion of existing refineries to renewable diesel refineries due to the compatibility of renewable diesel with existing distribution infrastructure and engines.
, the production of renewable diesel supplies will grow
.
Targets and incentives to boost renewable diesel growth include the Renewable Fuel Standard, California's Low Carbon Fuel Standard, and the U.
S.
Biomass Diesel Blender Credit
.
The EIA assumes that policy, not market demand, is driving the adoption of biodiesel
.
Renewable diesel and biodiesel compete for the same feedstocks, so some growth in renewable diesel production is expected to displace biodiesel production
