echemi logo
Product
  • Product
  • Supplier
  • Inquiry
    Home > Chemicals Industry > Petrochemical News > Important players in the oil market to go offline? The world's largest oil hedging deal is in danger of shrinking

    Important players in the oil market to go offline? The world's largest oil hedging deal is in danger of shrinking

    • Last Update: 2023-03-16
    • Source: Internet
    • Author: User
    Search more information of high quality chemicals, good prices and reliable suppliers, visit www.echemi.com

    Once Mexico's desire to stop crude oil exports is realized, the crude oil market will be hit
    hard.

    Mexico's plan to halt crude exports by 2023 could curb its massive oil hedge and push up long-term crude prices
    .

    Mexico hedges every year to lock in crude oil export prices, making the Mexican Treasury one of the largest sellers of
    forward oil contracts.
    Last week, however, Pemex said it would cut exports by more than half in 2022 and stop all exports next year
    .

    The move to reduce exports means reducing the size of future hedges while reducing the amount of
    oil derivatives that Mexico sells in the coming years.
    Thibaut Remoundos, founder of Commodities Trading Corporation, which advises on hedging strategies, said:

    "If this news turns out to be true, it will mean that one of the largest forward crude sellers will exit the market
    .
    " Overall, this would make long-term crude oil prices bullish
    .

    Producers like Mexico usually want to lock in profits when oil prices fall, so they sell more forward crude futures, so naturally there is a price cap
    on the far end of the crude oil futures curve.
    Traders and analysts say the futures curve could be more vulnerable to price spikes without the operations of these producers
    .

    For now, the market is still skeptical that Mexico can completely stop crude oil exports, because Mexico temporarily lacks the ability to
    process all of its crude oil production into refined products.

    Therefore, once Mexico does completely stop crude oil exports as planned, it will have a huge impact
    on the market.
    However, due to Mexico's significant decline in crude oil production over the past five years, the volume of exports that need to be hedged has also decreased
    recently.

    Traders say that if hedging stops completely, it will have a significant impact on
    the options market.
    For example, buying put options is a popular way
    to hedge in oil-producing countries, including Mexico.
    This usually makes put options more valuable
    than call options.
    But Mexico's absence could disrupt markets and reduce the value of
    these puts.

    In the past, the Mexican Treasury Department has made a lot of profits from hedging oil, earning $2.
    38 billion in 2020 and more than $6 billion
    in 2016, when oil prices plummeted.
    But Mexican hedging also disrupted markets at a time when prices fell sharply, after sources revealed that the Mexican Treasury Department had hedged at $60 to $65 a barrel in early November to buy a put option to protect crude oil export revenues in 2022, when oil prices plunged $10 in November
    .

    This article is an English version of an article which is originally in the Chinese language on echemi.com and is provided for information purposes only. This website makes no representation or warranty of any kind, either expressed or implied, as to the accuracy, completeness ownership or reliability of the article or any translations thereof. If you have any concerns or complaints relating to the article, please send an email, providing a detailed description of the concern or complaint, to service@echemi.com. A staff member will contact you within 5 working days. Once verified, infringing content will be removed immediately.

    Contact Us

    The source of this page with content of products and services is from Internet, which doesn't represent ECHEMI's opinion. If you have any queries, please write to service@echemi.com. It will be replied within 5 days.

    Moreover, if you find any instances of plagiarism from the page, please send email to service@echemi.com with relevant evidence.