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On Wednesday, the Shanghai rubber RU2109 contract increased its position, and the futures price closed lower
.
The current price closed at 13950, -3.
26% from the previous trading day; Volume 268617 lots, position volume 160835 lots, +20811, basis -600; RU5-9 spread -255.
The NR2106 contract futures closed at 10890, -2.
51% from the previous session; The volume is 17670 lots, the position volume is 32298 lots, +1458; NR05-06 spread is -180
.
News: 1.
Progress of the China-Thailand high-speed railway project, signed 3 contracts totaling 27.
5 billion baht2.
According to Longzhong information statistics, the operating rate of semi-steel tire manufacturers last week was 73.
07%, up 0.
73% month-on-month and 9.
13% year-on-year; The operating rate of all-steel tire manufacturers was 78.
09%, up 0.
74% month-on-month and 14.
05%
year-on-year.
3.
Thai Ministry of Finance: The Thai economy released positive signals
in February.
Market quotation: Shanghai market 19 years state-owned full latex reported 13350 (-400) yuan / ton, Vietnam 3L reported 12950 (-400) yuan / ton, Thailand No.
3 tobacco film reported 19550 (-450) yuan / ton
.
Qingdao market STR20 stock spot reported 1735 (-50) US dollars / ton, Qingdao market STR20 April cargo reported 1730 (-45) US dollars / ton
.
Hainan state-owned glue into the whole dairy plant 12500 (+0) yuan / ton, into the concentrated dairy plant 15000 (+0) yuan / ton
.
Field glue for Hat Yai raw material market in Thailand 62.
5 (+0) baht/kg; Cup gum 43.
5 (-0.
5) baht/kg
.
Synthetic rubber: Qilu petrochemical styrene-butadiene rubber in North China 1502 market price 14400 (+0) yuan / ton; The market price of cis-butadiene rubber is 13700 (+0) yuan / ton
.
Warehouse receipt inventory: RU warehouse receipt 172130 tons, + 670 tons; NR warehouse receipts 59,028 tons, - 151 tons
.
Main positions: RU2105 top 20 long positions 48255, - 4274; short positions 69956, - 6338; long and short are reduced together, net short is reduced
.
Summary: From the supply side, the current global production of tianjiao is in a seasonal low production period, and the domestic Yunnan production area is affected by drought and powdery mildew.
Some areas of Hainan production area are cut ahead of schedule, but the price of Hainan state-owned glue into the concentrated milk plant is far higher and the water enters the whole milk plant, considering that the supply of raw materials in the early stage of cutting is small, and it will still face concentrated milk diversion, and it is difficult to increase the production of whole milk rapidly
.
From a downstream point of view, the operating rate of domestic tire factories last week was slightly increased month-on-month, and the current factory export orders were sufficient, and the inventory of finished products was low
.
The rise in raw materials has led to an increase in the price of finished tires, but the terminal market has started relatively slowly, the price increase transmission is not smooth, and the inventory of dealers is rising
.
Affected by the early opening of Hainan, the market sentiment is pessimistic, the rubber price is weak downward, RU2109 contract short-term focus on support around 13950, NR2106 contract focus on support around 10770, considering that short-term full latex is difficult to have a significant increase, it is recommended that investors treat rationally and be cautious in chasing short.
