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Aluminum market afternoon comment: the US dollar weakened further, and Lun aluminum closed up 1.
07% the next week; The epidemic still has obstacles to transportation, and the downstream demand season is not strong, but the domestic resumption of production is steadily advancing, favorable policies are promoting, and aluminum may rise
today.
Last Friday, Lun aluminum rushed back to close Xiaoyang, and opened slightly lower at $2964 today
.
Shanghai aluminum overnight trading rushed back to close Xiaoyang, closing at 20855
.
Shanghai aluminum trading positions fell slightly, and market sentiment was biased towards
neutrality.
The Russia-Ukraine conflict is still fierce and market uncertainty is high
.
The trend of aluminum has improved, and aluminum prices have rebounded
from low levels.
In the medium term, the epidemic situation in Shanghai tends to stabilize, the consumption side improves, and the internal market is expected to rebound
first.
Upper pressure 22000, lower support 19000
.
At present, the rapid release logic of domestic electrolytic aluminum production capacity is gradually being confirmed, and it is speculated from the output and import and export data that the supply of domestic electrolytic aluminum in May will probably exceed the same period
last year.
Demand is gradually recovering, but it remains to be seen whether consumer demand postponed due to
the epidemic can be released centrally in the future.
With the decline in aluminum prices and the compression of smelting profits, whether the resumption of electrolytic aluminum production in Guangxi Province will slow down needs to be focused on
.
In the short term, 19,000 yuan is a support level, and aluminum prices are expected to show a high volatility trend
.