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Copper market afternoon commentary: the dollar fell heavily and the stock market rose, and London copper closed up 0.
59% overnight; The Fed raised interest rates as promised but the hawkish spirit was insufficient, the epidemic situation in Shanghai continued to improve, logistics and transportation gradually recovered, and copper is expected to remain stable today
.
The main logic of the market during the May Day holiday is still the expectation of a Fed rate hike, the market is worried that the Fed will raise interest rates by 75 basis points, and non-ferrous metals fell
sharply on Tuesday.
The overnight Fed meeting decided to raise interest rates by 75 basis points, while Powell said that a 75 basis point rate hike was not considered, but it is likely that the next few rate hikes will continue by 50 basis points
.
After the fear of a 75 basis point rate hike by the Fed was lifted, market sentiment improved sharply, the dollar tumbled, and non-ferrous metals rebounded
sharply.
Overnight, Lun copper opened higher and closed up to close Xiaoyang, opening sharply higher at $
9630 today.
During the futures period, London copper accumulated a decline of about 2.
2%, and Shanghai copper may open lower with the outside market to around
72500 today.
After the Fed raised interest rates, macro fundamentals have stabilized and market sentiment has improved
.
The epidemic situation in Shanghai has been controlled, there is a certain uncertainty in the epidemic situation in Beijing, and the short-term impact of epidemic factors is small, but it needs attention
in the medium term.
Short-term copper prices are likely to stabilize near the medium-term trend line, and in the medium term, supported by the gradual recovery of domestic demand, it is expected to continue the volatile upward trend
.
Shanghai copper upper pressure 75000, lower support 72000
.