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On Thursday, the main force of rubber RU closed at 12755 (+255) yuan / ton, the price of mixed rubber was 12550 yuan / ton (+100), and the basis of the main contract was -130 yuan / ton (-155); The top 20 main long positions 100597 (-1434), short positions 140847 (-6664), net short positions 40250 (-5230).
NR main closing price 11135 (+235) yuan / ton, Qingdao Free Trade Zone Thai standard rubber 1675 (+20) US dollars / ton, Malaysian standard rubber 1665 US dollars / ton (+20), Indonesian standard rubber 1695 (+10) US dollars / ton
.
As of June 17: total stock on the exchange 276827 (+1402), exchange warehouse receipt 251480 (-890).
Raw materials: raw film 62.
88 (0), cup glue 47.
05 (-0.
15), glue 54.
6 (0), tobacco film 63.
52 (-0.
29).
As of June 16, the domestic all-steel tire operating rate was 58.
97% (+5.
94%), and the domestic semi-steel tire operating rate was 64.
71% (+1.
35%)
.
This week's rubber prices are relatively resistant, mainly because the absolute price has been in a low position, and the non-standard price spread continues to narrow, and the power of short arbitrage on the plate has weakened
significantly.
After yesterday's basis changed from negative basis to positive basis, the disk rebounded
slightly.
From the perspective of supply and demand, the short-term pressure of domestic supply is not large, mainly due to the rainy season at home and abroad, the amount of raw materials is limited, and the spot price is relatively firm, but the later supply is likely to increase, and the demand is showing a pattern of weak internal and strong outside, but there are hidden worries about overseas demand in the later period and the recovery of domestic demand still needs to see greater policy support, it is expected that domestic demand will slowly recover, but the supply and demand pattern is difficult to improve significantly, it is recommended to wait and see
for the time being.
