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On Wednesday, the main force of rubber RU closed at 12920 (-300) yuan / ton, the mixed rubber quotation was 11800 yuan / ton (-25), and the basis of the main contract was -745 yuan / ton (+200); The top 20 main long positions are 73190 (+4504), short positions 93605 (+5433), and net short positions 20415 (+929).
NR main closing price 10420 (-225) yuan / ton, Qingdao Free Trade Zone Thai standard rubber 1570 (-25) US dollars / ton, Malaysian standard rubber 1560 US dollars / ton (-25), Indonesia standard rubber 1625 (-5) US dollars / ton
.
As of August 5: total stock on the exchange 280871 (+2422), exchange warehouse receipt 255490 (+190).
Raw materials: raw film 51.
55 (-1.
03), cup glue 46.
8 (-0.
4), glue 50.
5 (-0.
5), tobacco film 53.
25 (-0.
75).
As of August 4, the domestic all-steel tire operating rate was 56.
72% (-1.
95%), and the domestic semi-steel tire operating rate was 64.
01% (-0.
19%)
.
Affected by the recent rainfall in the main domestic producing areas, the price performance of raw materials in Yunnan and Hainan is relatively firm, but the overall raw materials show a gradual upward trend, the price difference between Hainan glue and Yunnan glue gradually narrows, and Thai raw materials show a downward trend in the peak season, but in absolute prices, raw material prices at home and abroad are still in a medium-high position, which is conducive to the recovery of production after the end of rainfall in the later period
.
Under the trend of increasing supply, changes in demand have become the focus
of recent price turns.
Affected by the epidemic in China, as well as the limited recovery of demand for industrial products in the rainy season and the suppression of the operating rate of tire factories by high temperature weather, the current demand is still biased, resulting in a slight recovery trend in domestic rubber social inventory
.
The pressure above rubber prices is still large, but because the plate price has fallen below the cost of raw materials, the short-term downside will also be limited
.
In the later stage, as domestic demand is about to usher in the peak season, it is appropriate to pay attention to the rebalancing process between demand recovery and supply recovery.
