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The global ethylene market structure is undergoing profound changes.
The ethylene production capacity of China and the United States is rapidly expanding.
Who is the first?
Large-scale production of ethylene in the United States
Large-scale production of ethylene in the United StatesIn the first quarter, North America was affected by extremely cold weather, and most ethylene plants were temporarily shut down
.
In 2021, 400,000 tons of new ethylene effective capacity will be added.
The 1 million tons of ethane cracking capacity of Bayport Polymers, a joint venture between Total and Borealis, will be put into operation in July; 2 million tons of new production capacity will be added in 2022.
Among them, Exxon Mobil The world's largest ethane cracker will be jointly built with SABIC in Texas, with a production capacity of 1.
8 million tons.
It is expected to be in May or June 2021, or July at the latest
.
The U.
S.
ethane price will hover around $180/ton in the next few months, and the ethane price will rise slowly under the pressure of oversupply, but it is still difficult to break through $200/ton
.
From 2015 to 2020, the US Gulf Coast will add about 13 million tons of ethylene production capacity, and the total ethylene production capacity will reach 40 million tons, accounting for more than 20% of the global production capacity, making it the world's largest ethylene producer
.
From the perspective of the structure of ethylene downstream derivatives in the United States, the total ethylene consumption in the United States in 2020 will be about 32 million tons, and nearly 20 million tons will be used for polyethylene production, accounting for 60% of the total consumption
.
Over the next five years, U.
S.
ethylene capacity is expected to increase by approximately 5 million tons of capacity, and by 2025, U.
S.
ethylene capacity will be approximately 45 million tons, accounting for 19% of global ethylene capacity
.
Diversified sources of ethylene in China
Diversified sources of ethylene in ChinaIn 2020, Northeast Asia's ethylene production capacity will reach about 53 million tons
.
In 2020, China imported about 25 million tons of ethylene equivalent (ethylene monomer and downstream derivatives)
.
From 2015 to 2020, with the commissioning of coal-to-olefin (CTO) and methanol-to-olefin (MTO) production units in China, as well as the successive commissioning of ethylene-propane cracking units of Xinpu Chemical and propane-butane cracking units of Wanhua Chemical and Baolai Chemical, China's ethylene feedstock is truly diversified
.
In 2021, with the commissioning of the ethane crackers of Satellite Petrochemical in Lianyungang and PetroChina in Changqing and Tarim, the proportion of ethane in ethylene feedstock will continue to increase
.
In the next five years, China's ethylene production capacity is expected to increase by about 20 million tons, and by 2025, China's ethylene production capacity will exceed 50 million tons, accounting for 22% of global ethylene capacity
.
Recent progress on ethylene projects in China
Recent progress on ethylene projects in ChinaWhat are the recent developments in China's ethylene projects? Let's take a look at it next
.
Significant progress has been made in the preliminary work of the supporting engineering of the 1.
2 million t/a ethylene project in Tianjin
A few days ago, good news came from TEDA Nangang Group.
The preliminary work of the petrochemical pipe gallery project in Nangang Industrial Zone has made great progress.
The "Red Line Demonstration Report" was reviewed and approved by the Tianjin Municipal People's Government
.
According to reports, according to the national "Petrochemical Industry Planning and Layout Plan" and the requirements of the strategic adjustment of Tianjin's industrial layout, the Nangang 1.
2 million ton/year ethylene project is a key investment attraction project in Tianjin and Nangang Industrial Zone, and the petrochemical pipe gallery project in Nangang Industrial Zone is a key investment project.
The supporting projects of the 1.
2 million tons/year ethylene project have attracted the attention of leaders at all levels such as the city and the new district, and have been included in the list of key reserve projects in Tianjin in 2020 by the Municipal Development and Reform Commission
.
With the strong support of the Municipal Planning and Resources Bureau, the District Planning and Resources Bureau, the Nangang Management Committee and other departments, in the first quarter of 2021, major progress has been made in the preliminary work of the petrochemical pipe gallery project.
Impact Demonstration Report" and "Inevitable Ecological Protection Red Line Demonstration Report" were approved by the municipal government
.
The progress of the national demonstration project of PetroChina Ethane to Ethylene is 97%
The progress of the national demonstration project of PetroChina Ethane to Ethylene is 97%As of April 16, 2021, PetroChina's two national-level ethane-to-ethylene demonstration projects, the Changqing project's ethylene plant's progress has reached 97%, and the Tarim ethylene plant's progress has reached 95.
9%
.
PetroChina Lanzhou Petrochemical Changqing Ethane-to-Ethylene Project has a total investment of 10.
4 billion yuan.
It adopts CNPC's own technology to build the first domestic 800,000-ton/year ethane-to-ethylene demonstration plant, with an annual output of 400,000 tons of high-density and 400,000 tons of high-density ethylene.
Full-density polyethylene products, etc.
, the 1.
05 million tons/year ethane raw material required comes from the Changqing Gas Field Shanggu Natural Gas Processing Plant located 17 kilometers away in Yuheng Industrial Zone
.
In 2019, Changqing’s 800,000-ton/year ethane-to-ethylene project and PetroChina’s Xinjiang Tarim 600,000-ton/year ethane-to-ethylene project were jointly listed as ethane cracking-to-ethylene demonstration projects by the National Development and Reform Commission and the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology
.
Guangdong Province plans to produce 9 million tons of ethylene per year in Guangdong Petrochemical in 2025
On April 19, 2021, the website of the Guangdong Provincial Development and Reform Commission released the news of the second public announcement of the environmental impact assessment of the Guangdong Provincial Petrochemical Industry Master Plan (2021-2025)
.
By 2025, the production capacity of 90 million tons/year of oil refining, 9 million tons/year of ethylene, and 5 million tons/year of aromatics will be formed, forming a world-class green petrochemical industry cluster
.
Zhejiang Petrochemical Phase II 2# 1.
4 million tons/year ethylene plant successfully started
4 million tons/year ethylene plant successfully started
On April 16, 2021, the 2# 1.
4 million tons/year ethylene plant of Zhejiang Petrochemical Phase II Project produced qualified ethylene products, the plant was running smoothly, and the project was successfully started at one time!
Zhejiang Petrochemical Phase II 2# 1.
4 million ton ethylene plant uses raw materials such as ethane, propane, butane, light naphtha, aromatic raffinate, hydrotreating oil, diesel oil, hydrocracking tail oil, etc.
Pre-depropanization and pre-hydrogenation technology, the main products are polymer grade ethylene and polymer grade propylene; the main by-products are hydrogen, cracked carbon 4, crude cracked gasoline, light/heavy fuel oil,
etc.
It can be seen that the growth trend of China's ethylene production capacity is still strong, which will greatly alleviate the shortage of domestic ethylene supply
.
