Weird Fat City Knows It's Cold and Warm

The importance of environmental protection is increasing.
At the same time, in the past two years, a new term-El Niño phenomenon has also been reflected in the public's field of vision.
Based on the materialist dialectical theory of all unknown things, I consulted a PhD student in China Agricultural University.
The following explains that the El Niño climate is a term used by fishermen in Peru and Ecuador to refer to an abnormal climate phenomenon.
It mainly refers to the abnormally continuous warming of the seawater temperature of the tropical oceans in the eastern and central Pacific Ocean, which changes the climate pattern of the whole world, causing drought in some areas and excessive rainfall in other areas.
The simple understanding is that the climate has become weird and the changes have no laws at all.
The various fertilizers of chemical fertilizers used the market to deduce an alternative El Niño phenomenon: Urea, diammonium: export volume reduction, cargo shipping pressure this year, whether it is urea or diammonium export tariff policy is the same as last year, but this year to the present The results of exports so far show a little thunder and rain.
According to customs statistics: the total export volume of urea from January to April this year is 3,671,800 tons, which is about 30% less than the 5,277,600 tons in the same period last year, and the average customs declaration price is 238.
3 US dollars/ton.
, Compared with last year’s average price of 50 US dollars/ton; and the export market of diammonium phosphate is even worse, the export of diammonium from January to April this year is only 85.
760,000 tons, a decrease of more than 40% compared with the same period last year, the price drop is more than 60 US dollars per ton.
As the two main export fertilizers in China, compared with last year, it can be described as a cold wave, and most of the market expects heavier pessimism.
The low market prices have reduced the willingness of companies to make transactions, and the number of companies that stop production and limit production has begun to increase.
Coupled with the impact of the zero increase in fertilizer consumption plan, domestic calls for eliminating excess production capacity have gradually increased at a time.
However, regardless of the size of the factory, the investment time and cost are relatively high.
At this time, no company will withdraw from the market until the last moment; and the diammonium market test has intensified, and some large factories have added several new installations this year.
The market supply is already surplus.
In addition, the international market demand is not strong this year.
The cold current has intensified, forming a markedly different contrast with last year.
Potassium chloride: large contracts are pending.
According to market practice over the years, half of the domestic annual potash fertilizer consumption depends on imports.
When it comes to potash fertilizer imports, large contracts are a hot topic in the industry.
However, this year's large contracts are different from previous years.
According to the statistics of China Fertilizer.
com, the time for signing large contracts over the years is as follows: As can be seen from the above figure, the first domestic potash fertilizer contracts were signed in the first half of the year, and so far this year, the signing of potash contracts Time is still a mystery.
Du Shuangjiang, a potash analyst at China Fertilizer.
com, said that the following factors may reverse the trend of the potassium chloride market with the development of time: First, international suppliers are also continuously reducing production and weakening the contradiction of oversupply; secondly, Although transactions in other markets other than China have weakened, they have been going on; third, India no longer trusts China to negotiate large contracts with foreigners; fourth, as China’s self-sufficiency rate continues to increase, its status as a major importer will follow Decline; Fifth, Hong Kong's inventory is gradually decreasing under the sluggish market and Qinghai's operating rate is not good; finally, the downstream confidence is insufficient and the inventory in hand is limited.
Although there are many uncertain factors, the signing of the potash fertilizer contract is becoming more and more weird under the negative environment at this stage.
It is not a mystery if the overall market prices are in a downward trend, but the prices of individual fertilizers have not fallen sharply.
For example, the prices of general calcium and calcium-magnesium phosphate fertilizers in phosphate fertilizers have mostly remained stable, and they are out of stock from the inspection data.
The volume is basically the same as last year, and the price of ammonium chloride has soared uncharacteristically in the spring market.
From the figure below, it can be seen that the maximum price increase of ammonium chloride is 200 yuan/ton, and the maximum increase is close to 50%.
The market is weird.
The atmosphere is aggravated.
In summary, domestic policies are frequently issued, and the competitiveness of the international market is gradually increasing.
Some varieties have fallen to the lowest value in recent years.
The test of the fertilizer market has intensified.
As for various fertilizers in the later period,