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On the 16th, the National Development and Reform Commission and the Ministry of Ecology and Environment issued the "Opinions on Further Strengthening the Control of Plastic Pollution", comprehensively considering the actual conditions of various regions and fields, and orderly promote the restriction or prohibition of the production, sales and production of some plastic products by time, region and steps.
use
.
According to a survey conducted by the Zero Waste Alliance in 2018 on plastic bag charges and illegal plastic bag sales, only 3.
7% of the 1,101 offline retail stores strictly abide by all regulations of the plastic restriction order, of which non-compliant plastics Bags (ultra-thin plastic bags or incomplete logos) accounted for 78%, and stores that abide by the plastic bag charging policy accounted for 17%
.
The scope of prohibition stipulated in the "Notice" is limited to plastic shopping bags with a thickness of less than 0.
025 mm.
However, with the rise of the Internet, e-commerce, express delivery, and takeaway have gradually become major consumers of plastic products, and they are not applicable to the old plastic restriction order.
within the range
.
In accordance with the principle of "banning and limiting a batch, replacing a batch of recycling, and standardizing a batch", the new version of the plastic restriction order is divided into three time periods of 2020, 2022, and 2025, and clarifies the task goal of strengthening plastic pollution control in stages.
During this period of time, the tasks and objectives of strengthening the management of plastic pollution in stages have been clarified
.
The purpose is to establish and improve the management system for the production, circulation, use, recycling and disposal of plastic products, and effectively control plastic pollution
.
A total of 127 countries and regions around the world have begun to implement the "plastic ban" policy
.
1.
Demand for new paper substitutes
Demand for new paper substitutes
China's supermarket industry is relatively fragmented, and the promotion of paper bags instead of plastic bags in supermarkets needs to improve supporting policies to ensure the implementation of the plastic restriction order
.
2.
Corrugated boxes instead of plastic bags for express packaging
Corrugated boxes instead of plastic bags for express packaging
The express industry is highly concentrated, so it is easier to standardize express companies using paper express boxes to replace plastic bags and woven bags for express packaging, and the implementation of the plastic restriction order may be smoother
.
3.
Paper lunch boxes replace disposable plastic lunch boxes
Paper lunch boxes replace disposable plastic lunch boxes
The data of the "2020-2026 China White Cardboard Industry Market In-depth Analysis and Investment Prospect Report" released by Zhiyan Consulting shows that the demand for food-grade white cardboard will increase by 260,000 to 770,000 tons in 2022 (takeaway: 241,000 to 722,000 tons) ; packing box: 16,000 to 47,000 tons) In recent years, the scale of takeaway transactions has continued to grow, but due to the increase in the unit price of customers year by year, the growth rate of takeaway orders is weaker than the growth rate of transaction scale
.
In 2018, the number of takeaway orders reached 10.
96 billion orders, and the growth rate of takeaway transaction scale in 2019 was about 37%.
Considering that the growth rate of order volume was lower than the growth rate of transaction scale, it was assumed that the growth rate of takeaway order volume in 2019 was 30%, and the annual growth rate was 30%.
The rate of 5% drops to 10% and the growth rate remains the same
.
An average of 3.
27 disposable plastic lunch boxes/cups are consumed for each takeaway
.
In addition to takeaways, the catering industry also consumes a lot of packed lunch boxes
.
The proportion of surplus food in the catering industry is 12%
.
Assuming that the meat dish is 40 yuan/course, the vegetarian dish is 20 yuan/course, the average price of the overall dish is 30 yuan/course
.
In 2019, the revenue of China's catering industry was 4,271.
5 billion yuan, with an average growth rate of 9% from 2017 to 2019.
It is assumed that the growth rate of meal expenses will be 9% from 2019 to 2021 and 8% from 2022 to 2025
.
Assuming that a leftover consumes one packing box, the packing rate is 20%
.
The new version of the plastic restriction order has prompted a large number of paper packaging to replace plastic packaging, which is beneficial to packaging companies with alternative production capacity
.
In 2019, the production capacity of the white cardboard industry was 10.
45 million tons, and the apparent consumption was 7.
4 million tons; the production capacity of the containerboard + corrugated paper industry was 58.
02 million tons (31.
54 million tons of containerboard and 26.
48 million tons of corrugated paper), and the apparent consumption was 49.
24 million tons.
(26.
89 million tons of containerboard and 22.
35 million tons of corrugated paper)
.
Assuming that the apparent consumption of white cardboard and boxboard corrugated paper will remain unchanged in the future, and the capacity utilization rate will be 90%, it is estimated that the existing production capacity of whiteboard and boxboard corrugated paper may not be able to meet the new demand, but in fact the apparent consumption The volume is increasing year by year.
If the industry does not increase production capacity, the gap between future demand and production capacity may be larger.
It is not ruled out that the period of short supply will lead to white cardboard
.
The implementation of the new version of the plastic restriction order will benefit packaging companies that own environmentally friendly paper bags and paper plastics
.
Environmental protection requirements have gradually deepened from the production link to production materials, and leading companies in the packaging industry have deployed to accelerate the investment in environmental protection material packaging projects
.
