A survey on the implementation of transgenic policies

Introduction: market people think Market participants believe that the reason why the country has taken a tough stance on the issue of genetically modified soybean is to raise the price of soybean, so as to encourage farmers to shift from planting surplus agricultural products such as grain to planting soybean, cooperate with the implementation of the "revitalization of soybean industry plan", improve the scale and industrialization level of soybean production, and ultimately reduce dependence on overseas soybean From the actual effect, only for the protection of the interests of soybean farmers, basically achieved the goal Some of the respondents of v6H think that although the role of policy factors in raising the soybean market price is beyond doubt, the emergence of domestic soybean bull market this year is closely related to the impact of international agricultural product price hike in essence Even if the transgenic policy is not introduced, the domestic soybean price will rise to the same level Most of the respondents believe that due to the lack of understanding and Research on the soybean market situation and rules by the departments that formulate the relevant genetically modified policies and measures, the formulation of the corresponding terms and implementation rules is not scientific and rigorous, and the implementation principles, operating procedures and management objectives are not detailed, which has brought impact and turbulence to the market In particular, some major investment institutions use the experience of the stock market to stir up the "policy wave", which results in them being trapped in the market pressure and unable to extricate themselves One of its concrete manifestations is the huge delivery in May According to a rough estimate of a senior investment consultant, China has spent as much US dollars this year as last year, but the soybean bought back is at least 1 / 4 less than last year Although there is a price increase this year, it is obvious that the import timing is not good The trade volume of US $1 billion is not a small amount If we believe in the wisdom of market investors, our importers can save more US dollars, and our consumers will get more benefits In the interview, reporter v6H learned that almost all parties in the market have the same voice, that is, the formulation and implementation of relevant regulations should be more long-term, stable, operable and transparent Yang Qing, general manager of v6H Dalian Wanda futures company, is very representative He believes that from the experience of foreign countries (such as the United States), the formulation and implementation of a bill is serious and scientific, not only through the discussion and demonstration of relevant parties, but also once implemented, it will remain stable for three to five years or more However, our current situation is that the management measures are only temporary, and we don't know what will happen when they are due, which will have a negative impact on all parties of futures trading, including the spot market This is because after the development of soybean futures market in 1989, there have been a large number of agricultural reclamation enterprises, oil factories, feed factories, soybean traders in the Liandou market for hedging business The impact of policy changes on the future market is also the impact on the overall domestic soybean market in the long run If the future market fails to play its normal function, it will deeply hurt the market maturity and development of China's soybean related industries, and temporarily protect the soybean farmers, but only local interests and short-term interests Before Announcement No 222 of the Ministry of agriculture of the people's Republic of China was issued, some respondents believed that the temporary measures would be postponed, not only because of the restriction of the Sino US trade agreement, but also because there are no new measures to ensure the operability of the so-called security management It turns out that this kind of judgment is very correct It can be seen that the relevant departments of the state have begun to pay attention to and respect the operation law of the market However, after all, it is still taking temporary measures, and the market is looking forward to the adjustment of operable non temporary policies Because if so, the uncertainty risk caused by the policy change can be reduced, which will have a positive impact on the stable expectation of the supply and demand relationship of soybean market, and will play an inestimable role in the further establishment of the market confidence of yellow soybean 1 V6H