After the festival "three consecutive rises"! The latest statement of the National Development and Reform Commission is that the second batch of pork will be released this week

After the Mid-Autumn Festival (September 10), pig prices ushered in "three consecutive increases"

The National Development and Reform Commission pointed out that the second batch of pork reserves is still to effectively do a good job in the pig market supply and price stability, the next step, the National Development and Reform Commission will continue to pay close attention to the supply and demand of the pig market and the price situation with relevant departments, actively organize the adjustment of pork reserves, and further increase the intensity of

Storage, "interview" combination fist, mid-autumn pig prices have fallen bBN China feed industry information network - based on feed, service livestock

bBN China Feed Industry Information Network - Based on feed, serving animal husbandry

According to the data of China Pig Network, on the second day after the release, that is, the day of the Mid-Autumn Festival, the price of foreign three-yuan pork fell back to 23.
29 yuan / kg
at the beginning of the month.
bBN China Feed Industry Information Network - Based on feed, serving animal husbandry

bBN China Feed Industry Information Network - Based on feed, serving animal husbandry

In addition, the official WeChat public account of the National Development and Reform Commission also showed that it has recently organized industry associations, head breeding enterprises and slaughtering enterprises to hold meetings with relevant departments such as the Department of Consumption Promotion of the Ministry of Commerce to deeply analyze the supply and demand and price situation of the pig market and study the work
of ensuring supply and price stability in the pig market.
bBN China Feed Industry Information Network - Based on feed, serving animal husbandry

At that time, the participating enterprises unanimously said that they would take the lead in ensuring supply and price stability in the pig market, strive to increase market supply, and promote the stable operation of prices; The participating industry associations said that they will strengthen industry self-discipline and guide enterprises to maintain a normal rhythm of listing and not to press the column to hoard goods
.
bBN China Feed Industry Information Network - Based on feed, serving animal husbandry

After the festival "three consecutive rises", how to go about pig prices in the later period? bBN China Feed Industry Information Network - Based on feed, serving animal husbandry

After the Mid-Autumn Festival, pig prices "three consecutive rises", China pig network monitoring data show that on September 13, the price of three yuan pork outside the 23.
65 yuan / kg, close to the price
of the first batch of pork reserves this year.
bBN China Feed Industry Information Network - Based on feed, serving animal husbandry

bBN China Feed Industry Information Network - Based on feed, serving animal husbandry

East Asia Qianhai Securities believes that the central government and local storage superimposed on the holding of the stable price guarantee meeting will help the market to restore rationality, maintain a normal rhythm of listing, and maintain stable pig prices
.
However, the scale of reserve meat is limited, and the overall supply of live pigs is still tight, which has a strong
supporting effect on pig prices.
The government regulates the pig price superimposed consumption season coming, at the same time, the weather turned cooler in September, the secondary fattening or increased, so it is expected that the pig price is expected to fluctuate
at a high level in the later period.
bBN China Feed Industry Information Network - Based on feed, serving animal husbandry

Zheshang Securities also holds a similar view: "The short-term market's response to policy regulation and control is slightly more than expected, and the 37,700 tons of reserve meat released on September 8 accounts for less than 1%
of the average monthly consumption, based on the average monthly pork consumption of domestic residents.
Zheshang Securities Research Report pointed out that (the first batch of reserve pork release) has little impact on the supply and demand pattern, "We believe that policy regulation and control can only affect short-term sentiment, and pig prices will break through the new high
in September.
" "bBN China Feed Industry Information Network - Based on feed, serving animal husbandry.
"

However, the National Development and Reform Commission pointed out last week that the analysis of relevant parties believes that the current pig grain price ratio is in a reasonable range, and the average profit of pig breeding heads is significantly higher than the historical average, such as a further sharp rise in pig prices, which may lead to an excessive increase in production capacity and a sharp decline in prices in the later period, which is not conducive to the long-term healthy development of
the industry.
bBN China Feed Industry Information Network - Based on feed, serving animal husbandry

Monitoring information from the Price Monitoring Center of the National Development and Reform Commission shows that the national pig price on September 7 was 23.
72 yuan / kg, up 2.
07% from August 31; The pig food ratio was 8.
29, up 1.
97%
from August 31.
bBN China Feed Industry Information Network - Based on feed, serving animal husbandry

bBN China Feed Industry Information Network - Based on feed, serving animal husbandry

According to the relevant regulations of China, when the ratio of pig price to corn price is 6:1, pig breeding is basically at the break-even point
.
The higher the pig-to-food ratio, the better the breeding profit, and vice versa
.
bBN China Feed Industry Information Network - Based on feed, serving animal husbandry

For the price trend in the later period, the NDRC also pointed out that all parties believe that the current pig production capacity is generally reasonable and sufficient, and the stock of breeding sows has continued to rise; The number of newborn piglets has increased significantly since the second quarter, and the corresponding amount of fattening pigs in the later stage will increase accordingly, and the planned output of most head enterprises has shown a month-on-month upward trend; After the weather turns cooler, the growth rate of fattening pigs will accelerate, and the supply of pork will further increase
.
Overall judgment, the supply of pigs and pork markets in the later part of this year is guaranteed, and the price is expected to run in a reasonable range
.
bBN China Feed Industry Information Network - Based on feed, serving animal husbandry